Match Info

ITF MEN - SINGLES: M25 SANTA MARGHERITA DI PULA 4 (ITALY), CLAY - 1/16-FINALS

Date: 25 April 2023, Tuesday 🏁 Finished

Location: SANTA MARGHERITA DI PULA 4 (ITALY) 🌤️ ... 🔴 Clay


	Lorenzo Carboni		Mikalai Haliak

	1	2
	2.7	1.4
	2.72	1.42
	2.62	1.44
	2.18	1.61	Watch
	2.6	1.42
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.56 ↑ (2.15)	1.46 ↓ (1.62)

The best margin for this event is 7.2%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Lorenzo Carboni
36.3%

Mikalai Haliak
63.7%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

43%

57%

Our Initial ML Estimation

44.2%

55.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Lorenzo Carboni has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.7%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Lorenzo Carboni's form might have worsened.

Mikalai Haliak has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.7%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Mikalai Haliak's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Lorenzo Carboni than the current prediction. (+7.9%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Lorenzo Carboni, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Mikalai Haliak than the current prediction. (-7.9%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Mikalai Haliak, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

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Preview

Recent matches Carboni is playing shaky (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Haliak is in cheap shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Carboni could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

Haliak will have a small advantage in this match.

Recently, the players did not play each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Lorenzo Carboni
ITF Tournaments
22.03.23	Lorenzo Carboni - Vesa Ahti	1:2 ✺
16.03.23	Lorenzo Carboni - Szymon Kielan	1:2 ✺
15.03.23	Lorenzo Carboni - Rocco Piatti	Piatti R. retired ✺
11.03.23	Tao Mu - Lorenzo Carboni	2:0 ✺
10.03.23	Lorenzo Carboni - Luca Potenza	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.2 LL?LW
- Mikalai Haliak
ITF Tournaments
19.04.23	Mikalai Haliak - Alexander Weis	0:2 ✺
18.04.23	Mikalai Haliak - Niccolo Ciavarella	2:1 ✺
11.04.23	Mateo Nicolas Martinez - Mikalai Haliak	2:0 ✺
ATP Challenger
19.03.23	Albano Olivetti - Mikalai Haliak	2:1 ✺
ITF Tournaments
17.03.23	Antoine Hoang - Mikalai Haliak	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 1.2 LWLLL

Lorenzo Carboni - Mikalai Haliak

Match Info

Current Win Probability

Preview

Form

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