Match Info

ITF MEN - SINGLES: M25 Santa Margherita di Pula 2, clay - 1/16-finals

Date: 7 April 2025, Monday


	Lorenzo Carboni		Tim Handel

	1	2
	1.6	2.15
	1.8	1.95	Watch
	1.62	2.2
	1.75	1.96
	1.73	1.92
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.7 ↓ (1.83)	2.04 ↑ (1.83)

The best margin for this event is 6.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Lorenzo Carboni
54.5%

Tim Handel
45.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

50%

Our Initial ML Estimation

53.3%

46.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Lorenzo Carboni has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.5%)

Tim Handel has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.5%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Lorenzo Carboni than the current prediction. (-1.2%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Tim Handel than the current prediction. (+1.2%)

Lorenzo Carboni - Tim Handel Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Preview

Carboni is ranked ATP: 650. Handel is ranked ATP: 621.

Carboni is in a very good shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 4).

Handel is in cheap shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Handel could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

The possibility to win in this match is almost balanced for both players.

Recently, the players did not play each other.

Last Results with these Odds

Lorenzo Carboni - the odds 1.83 are the expected chance of winning is 50%, but this team recently wins 25% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Lorenzo Carboni
ITF Tournaments
03.04.25	Gianmarco Ferrari - Lorenzo Carboni	2:0 ✺
02.04.25	Lorenzo Carboni - Niccolo Catini	2:0 ✺
01.04.25	Lorenzo Carboni - Noah Thurner	2:0 ✺
09.03.25	Lorenzo Carboni - Nikolay Vylegzhanin	2:1 ✺
08.03.25	Lorenzo Carboni - Buvaysar Gadamauri	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.3 LWWWW
- Tim Handel
ITF Tournaments
27.03.25	Harry Wendelken - Tim Handel	2:0 ✺
25.03.25	Tim Handel - Evgeny Karlovskiy	2:0 ✺
18.03.25	Tim Handel - Mae Malige	0:2 ✺
11.03.25	Marat Sharipov - Tim Handel	2:0 ✺
08.03.25	Tim Handel - Daniil Glinka	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.7 LWLLL

Lorenzo Carboni - Tim Handel: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide