Match Info

ITF MEN - SINGLES: M25 LESA (ITALY), CLAY - QUARTER-FINALS

Date: 25 August 2023, Friday 🏁 Finished

Location: LESA (ITALY) 🌤️ ... 🔴 Clay


	Lorenzo Carboni		Timo Legout

	1	2
	2.95	1.35
	2.97	1.38
	2.75	1.4
	2.81	1.38	Watch
	2.8	1.36
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.86 ↑ (2.19)	1.37 ↓ (1.64)

The best margin for this event is 6.1%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Lorenzo Carboni
32.5%

Timo Legout
67.5%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

42.8%

57.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

41.3%

58.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Lorenzo Carboni has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-10.3%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Lorenzo Carboni's form might have worsened.

Timo Legout has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+10.3%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Timo Legout's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Lorenzo Carboni than the current prediction. (+8.8%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Lorenzo Carboni, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Timo Legout than the current prediction. (-8.8%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Timo Legout, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

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Preview

Recent matches Carboni is playing shaky (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Legout is in a first-class shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 4).

Carboni could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

In this match Legout is a favorite.

Our prediction for today's Legout to win the game is with odds 1.37.

Recently, the players did not play each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Lorenzo Carboni
ITF Tournaments
24.08.23	Lorenzo Carboni - Dominik Recek	2:0 ✺
23.08.23	Marcello Serafini - Lorenzo Carboni	0:2 ✺
10.08.23	Lorenzo Carboni - Daniele Rapagnetta	0:2 ✺
09.08.23	Lorenzo Carboni - Alessandro Spadola	2:0 ✺
27.07.23	Lorenzo Carboni - Filippo Moroni	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.6 WWLWL
- Timo Legout
ITF Tournaments
24.08.23	Niccolo Baroni - Timo Legout	0:2 ✺
23.08.23	Gabriele Pennaforti - Timo Legout	0:2 ✺
20.08.23	Guy Den Ouden - Timo Legout	2:0 ✺
19.08.23	Timo Legout - Jeremy Jahn	2:1 ✺
18.08.23	Timo Legout - Mariano Kestelboim	Legout T. walkover ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.6 WWLW?

Lorenzo Carboni - Timo Legout

Match Info

Current Win Probability

Preview

Form

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