Match Info

ITF MEN - SINGLES: M25 Santa Margherita di Pula 7, clay - Quarter-finals

Date: 17 September 2026, Thursday


	Lorenzo Comino		Andrey Chepelev

	1	2
			Watch
	3.40	1.26
	4.60	1.15
	3.6	1.24	Watch
	3.75	1.26
	3.53	1.24	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.78 ↑ (3.07)	1.23 ↓ (1.31)

The most likely Over/Under: 20.00

The best margin for this event is 6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Lorenzo Comino
24.6%

Andrey Chepelev
75.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

29.9%

70.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

31%

69%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Lorenzo Comino has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.3%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Lorenzo Comino's form might have worsened.

Andrey Chepelev has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.3%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Andrey Chepelev's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Lorenzo Comino than the current prediction. (+6.4%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Lorenzo Comino, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Andrey Chepelev than the current prediction. (-6.4%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Andrey Chepelev, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Lorenzo Comino - Andrey Chepelev Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2

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Preview

Comino is ranked ATP: 960. Chepelev is ranked ATP: 393.

Both players are showing inconsistent performances lately.

Chepelev may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

In this match, Chepelev is a strong favorite.

The players have not played against each other recently.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Lorenzo Comino
ITF Tournaments
16.09.26	Matteo Sciahbasi - Lorenzo Comino	0:2 ✺
15.09.26	Lorenzo Comino - Marco Dessi	2:0 ✺
10.09.26	Mate Valkusz - Lorenzo Comino	2:0 ✺
09.09.26	Lorenzo Comino - Stijn Paardekooper	2:1 ✺
22.08.26	Lorenzo Comino - Pierluigi Basile	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.3 WWLWL
- Andrey Chepelev
ITF Tournaments
16.09.26	Alessandro Battiston - Andrey Chepelev	0:2 ✺
14.09.26	Lorenzo Berto - Andrey Chepelev	0:2 ✺
ATP Challenger
07.09.26	Andrey Chepelev - Gianmarco Ferrari	0:2 ✺
06.09.26	Andrey Chepelev - Jeremy Gschwendtner	2:0 ✺
31.08.26	Andrey Chepelev - Fausto Tabacco	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.4 WWLWL

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