Match Info

ITF MEN - SINGLES: M15 Kursumlijska Banja 2, clay - Final

Date: 24 May 2026, Sunday 🏁 Finished

Location: Kursumlijska Banja 2 🌤️ ... 🔴 Clay


	Lorenzo Gagliardo		Martin Van Der Meerschen

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Lorenzo Gagliardo
48.7%

Martin Van Der Meerschen
51.3%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

50%

Our Initial ML Estimation

44.6%

55.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Lorenzo Gagliardo has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.3%)

Martin Van Der Meerschen has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.3%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Lorenzo Gagliardo than the current prediction. (-4.1%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Martin Van Der Meerschen than the current prediction. (+4.1%)

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2

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Gagliardo is ranked ATP: 1003. Van Der Meerschen is ranked ATP: 822.

Recent performances by Gagliardo have been up and down (last 5 games: 3 wins).

Van Der Meerschen is in great form at the moment (in the last 5 games, wins – 4).

Gagliardo may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

In this match, both players are almost equally likely to win.

In recent times, the players did not meet on the field.

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Lorenzo Gagliardo
ITF Tournaments
23.05.26	Svyatoslav Gulin - Lorenzo Gagliardo	1:2 ✺
22.05.26	Max Wiskandt - Lorenzo Gagliardo	Wiskandt M. Retired ✺
21.05.26	Nikola Jovic - Lorenzo Gagliardo	0:2 ✺
14.05.26	Lorenzo Gagliardo - Yanaki Milev	0:2 ✺
13.05.26	Andreas Loizas - Lorenzo Gagliardo	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11.8 W?WLW
- Martin Van Der Meerschen
ITF Tournaments
23.05.26	Kristijan Juhas - Martin Van Der Meerschen	0:2 ✺
22.05.26	Martin Van Der Meerschen - Stefan Popovic	Popovic S. Retired ✺
21.05.26	Martin Van Der Meerschen - Maties Torres Ramis	2:1 ✺
20.05.26	Martin Van Der Meerschen - Milos Mikovic	2:0 ✺
01.05.26	Emilien Demanet - Martin Van Der Meerschen	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.4 W?WWL

Lorenzo Gagliardo - Martin Van Der Meerschen