Match Info

ITF MEN - SINGLES: M25 Sabadell 2 (Spain), clay - Semi-finals

Date: 28 September 2024, Saturday


	Lorenzo Giustino		Gianluca Mager

	1	2
	2.05	1.65
	2.05	1.66
	2.13	1.68
	2.07	1.67	Watch
	2	1.73
	2.07	1.69	Watch
	2.05	1.66
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.06 ↑ (1.85)	1.68 ↓ (1.83)

The best margin for this event is 6.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Lorenzo Giustino
44.9%

Gianluca Mager
55.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

49.8%

50.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

48.5%

51.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Lorenzo Giustino has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.9%)

Gianluca Mager has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.9%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Lorenzo Giustino than the current prediction. (+3.6%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Gianluca Mager than the current prediction. (-3.6%)

Lorenzo Giustino - Gianluca Mager Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2

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Preview

Giustino is ranked ATP: 289. Mager is ranked ATP: 252.

Recent matches Giustino is playing mutable (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Mager is in a first-class shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 4).

Giustino could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

In this match the chances to win of both players are almost equal.

Last 2 head-to-head matches Giustino won 2 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 4-0.

Last Results with these Odds

Lorenzo Giustino - the odds 1.85 are the expected chance of winning is 49.82%, but this team recently wins 40% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Lorenzo Giustino
ITF Tournaments
27.09.24	Alex Marti Pujolras - Lorenzo Giustino	1:2 ✺
26.09.24	Inaki Montes De La Torre - Lorenzo Giustino	0:2 ✺
25.09.24	Imanol Lopez Morillo - Lorenzo Giustino	1:2 ✺
ATP Challenger
16.09.24	Enrico Dalla Valle - Lorenzo Giustino	2:0 ✺
13.09.24	Lorenzo Giustino - Jakub Nicod	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.2 WWWLL
- Gianluca Mager
ITF Tournaments
27.09.24	Daniel Merida Aguilar - Gianluca Mager	1:2 ✺
26.09.24	Benjamin Winter Lopez - Gianluca Mager	0:2 ✺
25.09.24	Steven Diez - Gianluca Mager	0:2 ✺
ATP Challenger
12.09.24	Gianluca Mager - Andrea Pellegrino	1:2 ✺
11.09.24	Max Hans Rehberg - Gianluca Mager	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.6 WWWLW

Latest Head to Head

ITF Tournaments
14.04.18	Gianluca Mager - Lorenzo Giustino	0:2
01.08.15	Gianluca Mager - Lorenzo Giustino	0:2

Lorenzo Giustino - Gianluca Mager: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide