Match Info

Date: 26 April 2022, Tuesday


	Lorenzo Giustino		Gregoire Barrere

	1	2
	2.2	1.61	Watch
	2.25	1.57
	2.35	1.58
	2.27	1.54
	2.44	1.57
	2.25	1.57	Watch
	2.32	1.58	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.3 ↑ (1.8)	1.57 ↓ (1.97)

The best margin for this event is 4.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Lorenzo Giustino
40.7%

Gregoire Barrere
59.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

52.3%

47.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

52.6%

47.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Lorenzo Giustino has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-11.6%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Lorenzo Giustino's form might have worsened.

Gregoire Barrere has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+11.6%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Gregoire Barrere's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Lorenzo Giustino than the current prediction. (+11.9%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Lorenzo Giustino, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Gregoire Barrere than the current prediction. (-11.9%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Gregoire Barrere, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Lorenzo Giustino - Gregoire Barrere Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2

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Preview

Recent matches Giustino is playing shaky (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Barrere is in cheap shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Barrere could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

In this match the chances to achieve triumph bor both players are almost equal.

Recently, the players did not play each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Lorenzo Giustino
ATP Challenger
22.04.22	Dalibor Svrcina - Lorenzo Giustino	Giustino L. retired ✺
21.04.22	Lorenzo Giustino - Emilio Nava	2:1 ✺
20.04.22	Lorenzo Giustino - Ryan Peniston	2:0 ✺
12.04.22	Enzo Couacaud - Lorenzo Giustino	2:0 ✺
07.04.22	Lorenzo Giustino - Ivan Gakhov	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11.2 ?WWLL
- Gregoire Barrere
ATP Challenger
18.04.22	Christopher OConnell - Gregoire Barrere	2:0 ✺
11.04.22	Gregoire Barrere - Nerman Fatic	0:2 ✺
29.03.22	Gregoire Barrere - Borna Gojo	0:2 ✺
24.03.22	Alexis Galarneau - Gregoire Barrere	2:0 ✺
22.03.22	Andrea Arnaboldi - Gregoire Barrere	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 1.4 LLLLW

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