Match Info

Date: 21 April 2022, Thursday


	Lorenzo Giustino		Emilio Nava

	1	2
	2.75	1.4	Watch
	2.75	1.4
	2.85	1.4
	2.8	1.36
	3.06	1.39
	2.75	1.4	Watch
	2.95	1.4	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.84 ↑ (2.43)	1.39 ↓ (1.51)

The best margin for this event is 4.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Lorenzo Giustino
32.9%

Emilio Nava
67.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

38.2%

61.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

36.1%

63.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Lorenzo Giustino has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.3%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Lorenzo Giustino's form might have worsened.

Emilio Nava has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.3%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Emilio Nava's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Lorenzo Giustino than the current prediction. (+3.2%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Emilio Nava than the current prediction. (-3.2%)

Lorenzo Giustino - Emilio Nava Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2

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Preview

Two players are playing changeable.

Nava could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

Nava will have a small advantage in this match.

Recently, the players did not play each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Lorenzo Giustino
ATP Challenger
20.04.22	Lorenzo Giustino - Ryan Peniston	2:0 ✺
12.04.22	Enzo Couacaud - Lorenzo Giustino	2:0 ✺
07.04.22	Lorenzo Giustino - Ivan Gakhov	0:2 ✺
04.04.22	Lorenzo Giustino - Johan Nikles	2:1 ✺
29.03.22	Riccardo Bonadio - Lorenzo Giustino	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.6 WLLWL
- Emilio Nava
ATP Challenger
19.04.22	Emilio Nava - Lucas Pouille	2:0 ✺
18.04.22	Sanjar Fayziev - Emilio Nava	0:2 ✺
17.04.22	Jakub Nicod - Emilio Nava	1:2 ✺
04.04.22	Norbert Gombos - Emilio Nava	2:0 ✺
ATP Miami
23.03.22	Emilio Nava - Hugo Gaston	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.9 WWWLL

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