Match Info

CHALLENGER MEN - SINGLES: Helsinki, hard - 1/8-finals

Date: 6 November 2025, Thursday


	Lorenzo Giustino		Kimmer Coppejans

	1	2
	1.67	2.1	Watch
			Watch
	1.71	2.02
	1.82	2.02
	2.62	1.44	Watch
			Watch
	1.73	1.97	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.91 ↑ (1.84)	1.91 ↑ (1.84)

The best margin for this event is 4.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Lorenzo Giustino
50%

Kimmer Coppejans
50%

Our Initial ML Estimation

56.2%

43.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

The chances for Lorenzo Giustino have remained the same compared to the initial analysis.

The chances for Kimmer Coppejans have remained the same compared to the initial analysis.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Lorenzo Giustino than the current prediction. (+6.2%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Lorenzo Giustino, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Kimmer Coppejans than the current prediction. (-6.2%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Kimmer Coppejans, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
22.2%	0%	77.8%

Lorenzo Giustino - Kimmer Coppejans Predictions

Users Predictions: 9 users predict this event. Giustino will win (votes: 2 - 22.2%). Coppejans will win (votes: 7 - 77.8%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Coppejans: 50.6% – 100%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Preview

Giustino is ranked ATP: 229. Coppejans is ranked ATP: 191.

Giustino is currently enjoying a strong run with several victories in a row (last 5 games: 5 wins).

Coppejans's form has been unstable in recent games (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).

Coppejans may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

In this match, both players are almost equally likely to win.

We predict that Giustino will win today's game, with odds of 1.84.

In the last 4 head-to-head matches, Giustino won 2 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 5:4. (average 1.3:1).

Last Results with these Odds

Lorenzo Giustino - the odds 1.84 are the expected chance of winning is 50%, but this team recently wins 26% of matches with these odds.

Kimmer Coppejans - the odds 1.84 are the expected chance of winning is 50%, but this team recently wins 71% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Lorenzo Giustino
ATP Challenger
05.11.25	Lorenzo Giustino - Titouan Droguet	2:0 ✺
02.11.25	Lorenzo Giustino - Petr Brunclik	2:0 ✺
01.11.25	Alejandro Moro Canas - Lorenzo Giustino	0:2 ✺
31.10.25	Lorenzo Giustino - Dan Added	2:0 ✺
30.10.25	Lorenzo Giustino - Ioannis Xilas	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 22 WWWWW
- Kimmer Coppejans
ATP Challenger
04.11.25	Kimmer Coppejans - Brandon Holt	2:1 ✺
28.10.25	Mert Alkaya - Kimmer Coppejans	2:1 ✺
20.10.25	Kimmer Coppejans - August Holmgren	0:2 ✺
12.10.25	Kimmer Coppejans - Ryan Peniston	0:2 ✺
11.10.25	Kimmer Coppejans - Hynek Barton	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.2 WLLLW

Latest Head to Head

ATP Challenger
10.09.24	Lorenzo Giustino - Kimmer Coppejans	2:0
19.01.23	Kimmer Coppejans - Lorenzo Giustino	0:2
06.02.20	Lorenzo Giustino - Kimmer Coppejans	1:2
21.07.16	Kimmer Coppejans - Lorenzo Giustino	2:0

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