Match Info

CHALLENGER MEN - SINGLES: Monastir, hard - 1/8-finals

Date: 30 October 2025, Thursday


	Lorenzo Giustino		Ioannis Xilas

	1	2
	1.8	1.91	Watch
			Watch
	1.8	1.9	Watch
	1.76	1.95	Watch
			Watch
	1.76	1.93	Watch
	1.65	2.15
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.75 ↑ (1.53)	1.97 ↓ (2.35)

The best margin for this event is 7.1%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Lorenzo Giustino
52.9%

Ioannis Xilas
47.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

60.6%

39.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

63.6%

36.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Lorenzo Giustino has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-7.7%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Lorenzo Giustino's form might have worsened.

Ioannis Xilas has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+7.7%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Ioannis Xilas's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Lorenzo Giustino than the current prediction. (+10.7%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Lorenzo Giustino, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Ioannis Xilas than the current prediction. (-10.7%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Ioannis Xilas, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
66.7%	0%	33.3%

Lorenzo Giustino - Ioannis Xilas Predictions

Users Predictions: 6 users predict this event. Giustino will win (votes: 4 - 66.7%). Xilas will win (votes: 2 - 33.3%).

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 2 Selected Experts predict this event. Xilas (votes: 2 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Preview

Giustino is ranked ATP: 269. Xilas is ranked ATP: 511.

Giustino is in very good shape right now (last 5 games: 4 wins).

Xilas's form has been unstable in recent games (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).

Giustino might have a minor edge in this game.

The players have not played against each other recently.

Last Results with these Odds

Ioannis Xilas - the odds 2.35 are the expected chance of winning is 39.38%, but this team recently wins 57% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Lorenzo Giustino
ATP Challenger
28.10.25	George Loffhagen - Lorenzo Giustino	0:2 ✺
ITF Tournaments
15.10.25	Nick Hardt - Lorenzo Giustino	Giustino L. retired ✺
13.10.25	Massimo Giunta - Lorenzo Giustino	0:2 ✺
05.10.25	Lorenzo Giustino - Pedro Vives Marcos	2:1 ✺
04.10.25	Lorenzo Giustino - Martin Krumich	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 18.1 W?WWW
- Ioannis Xilas
ATP Challenger
28.10.25	Radu Albot - Ioannis Xilas	0:2 ✺
16.10.25	Inaki Montes De La Torre - Ioannis Xilas	2:1 ✺
14.10.25	Max Alcala Gurri - Ioannis Xilas	0:2 ✺
07.10.25	Ioannis Xilas - Michael Geerts	0:2 ✺
ITF Tournaments
05.10.25	Nino Ehrenschneider - Ioannis Xilas	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.6 WLWLW

Lorenzo Giustino - Ioannis Xilas: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide