Match Info

Date: 22 September 2021, Wednesday


	Lorenzo Giustino		Matteo Arnaldi

	1	2
	1.9	1.8	Watch
	2.05	1.7
	2	1.77	Watch
	1.97	1.72
	2.05	1.79
	2	1.72	Watch
	2.08	1.75	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.01 ↑ (1.93)	1.75 ↓ (1.79)

The best margin for this event is 4.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Lorenzo Giustino
46.6%

Matteo Arnaldi
53.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

48.2%

51.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

49.5%

50.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Lorenzo Giustino has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.6%)

Matteo Arnaldi has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.6%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Lorenzo Giustino than the current prediction. (+2.9%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Matteo Arnaldi than the current prediction. (-2.9%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
41.2%	0%	58.8%

Lorenzo Giustino - Matteo Arnaldi Predictions

Users Predictions: 17 users predict this event. Giustino will win (votes: 7 - 41.2%). Arnaldi will win (votes: 10 - 58.8%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Arnaldi: 35.4% – 82.2%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2

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Preview

Both players have a series of defeats in the last matches.

Arnaldi could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

In this match the chances to achieve triumph bor both players are almost equal.

Recently, the players did not play each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Lorenzo Giustino
ATP Challenger
20.09.21	Sumit Nagal - Lorenzo Giustino	1:2 ✺
14.09.21	James Duckworth - Lorenzo Giustino	2:0 ✺
06.09.21	Lorenzo Giustino - Flavio Cobolli	0:2 ✺
ATP US Open
25.08.21	Lorenzo Giustino - Aleksandar Kovacevic	1:2 ✺
ATP Challenger
17.08.21	Riccardo Bonadio - Lorenzo Giustino	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.5 WLLLL
- Matteo Arnaldi
ATP Challenger
21.09.21	Geoffrey Blancaneaux - Matteo Arnaldi	0:2 ✺
20.09.21	Vlad Andrei Dancu - Matteo Arnaldi	0:1 ✺
19.09.21	Matteo Arnaldi - Yshai Oliel	2:0 ✺
ITF Tournaments
12.09.21	Matteo Arnaldi - Facundo Diaz Acosta	0:2 ✺
11.09.21	Arthur Fery - Matteo Arnaldi	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.5 WWWLW

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