Match Info

CHALLENGER MEN - SINGLES: MODENA (ITALY), CLAY - 1/16-FINALS

Date: 26 June 2023, Monday


	Lorenzo Giustino		Nerman Fatic

	1	2
	2.5	1.5	Watch
	2.45	1.48
	2.6	1.48
	2.5	1.56
	2.5	1.5	Watch
	2.43	1.51	Watch
	2.48	1.48
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.49 ↑ (2.16)	1.5 ↓ (1.62)

The best margin for this event is 4.1%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Lorenzo Giustino
37.6%

Nerman Fatic
62.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

42.8%

57.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

40.8%

59.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Lorenzo Giustino has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.2%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Lorenzo Giustino's form might have worsened.

Nerman Fatic has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.2%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Nerman Fatic's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Lorenzo Giustino than the current prediction. (+3.2%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Nerman Fatic than the current prediction. (-3.2%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
14.3%	0%	85.7%

Lorenzo Giustino - Nerman Fatic Predictions

Users Predictions: Nerman Fatic will win (6 of 7 users predict this - 85.71%).
Confidence interval (95%): 59.78% – 100%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2

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Preview

Giustino is in unsatisfactory shape (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Recent matches Fatic is playing unstable (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Giustino could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

Fatic will have a small advantage in this match.

Last 1 head-to-head matches Giustino won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 0-2.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Lorenzo Giustino
ATP Challenger
20.06.23	Facundo Diaz Acosta - Lorenzo Giustino	2:1 ✺
12.06.23	Pol Martin Tiffon - Lorenzo Giustino	2:0 ✺
04.06.23	Lorenzo Giustino - Pedro Sakamoto	1:2 ✺
29.05.23	Lorenzo Giustino - Nerman Fatic	0:2 ✺
28.05.23	Lorenzo Giustino - Daniel Dutra da Silva	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 1.4 LLLLW
- Nerman Fatic
ATP Challenger
19.06.23	Nerman Fatic - Tomas Machac	Canceled ✺
16.06.23	Pedro Cachin - Nerman Fatic	Fatic N. retired ✺
15.06.23	Matteo Gigante - Nerman Fatic	1:2 ✺
14.06.23	Giulio Zeppieri - Nerman Fatic	1:2 ✺
12.06.23	Nerman Fatic - Matteo Martineau	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 17.6 ??WWW

Latest Head to Head

ATP Challenger
29.05.23	Lorenzo Giustino - Nerman Fatic	0:2

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