Match Info

Date: 18 February 2021, Thursday


	Lorenzo Musetti		Lukas Lacko

	1	2
	1.5	2.5	Watch
	1.45	2.55
	1.48	2.58	Watch
	1.42	2.6
	1.44	2.82
	1.4	2.75	Watch
	1.54	2.48	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.46 ↓ (1.5)	2.61 ↑ (2.6)

The best margin for this event is 4.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Lorenzo Musetti
64.1%

Lukas Lacko
35.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

63.4%

36.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

67.2%

32.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Lorenzo Musetti has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.7%)

Lukas Lacko has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.7%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Lorenzo Musetti than the current prediction. (+3.1%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Lukas Lacko than the current prediction. (-3.1%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
30.3%	0%	69.7%

Lorenzo Musetti - Lukas Lacko Predictions

Users Predictions: 33 users predict this event. Musetti will win (votes: 10 - 30.3%). Lacko will win (votes: 23 - 69.7%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Lacko: 54% – 85.4%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Preview

Both players have a series of defeats in the last matches.

Lacko could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

Lacko will have a mini benefit in this match.

Recently, the players did not play each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Lorenzo Musetti
ATP Challenger
16.02.21	Lorenzo Musetti - Stefano Napolitano	2:0 ✺
02.02.21	Leonardo Mayer - Lorenzo Musetti	2:0 ✺
31.01.21	Jaume Munar - Lorenzo Musetti	2:1 ✺
31.01.21	Cem Ilkel - Lorenzo Musetti	1:2
30.01.21	Lorenzo Musetti - Akira Santillan	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6 WLLWW
- Lukas Lacko
ATP Challenger
16.02.21	Blaz Kavcic - Lukas Lacko	0:2 ✺
10.02.21	Lukas Lacko - Federico Gaio	0:2 ✺
06.02.21	Brandon Nakashima - Lukas Lacko	2:1 ✺
05.02.21	Lukas Lacko - Arthur Cazaux	Lacko L. walkover ✺
05.02.21	Lukas Lacko - Federico Gaio	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.5 WLL?W

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