Match Info

Date: 17 November 2020, Tuesday


	Lorenzo Musetti		Roberto Marcora

	1	2
	1.4	2.75	Watch
	1.42	2.65
	1.4	2.9	Watch
	1.38	2.75
	1.44	2.84
	1.4	2.75	Watch
	1.32	3.26	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.39 ↓ (1.4)	2.84 ↑ (2.77)

The best margin for this event is 4.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Lorenzo Musetti
67.1%

Roberto Marcora
32.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

66.5%

33.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

68.9%

31.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Lorenzo Musetti has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.6%)

Roberto Marcora has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.6%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Lorenzo Musetti than the current prediction. (+1.8%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Roberto Marcora than the current prediction. (-1.8%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
77.5%	0%	22.5%

Lorenzo Musetti - Roberto Marcora Predictions

Users Predictions: 40 users predict this event. Musetti will win (votes: 31 - 77.5%). Marcora will win (votes: 9 - 22.5%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Musetti: 64.6% – 90.4%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Preview

Marcora is in unsatisfactory shape (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Musetti has a series of defeats in the last matches (in the last 5 games wins - 0).

Musetti could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

In this match Marcora is a favorite.

Last 1 head-to-head matches Marcora won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 1-2.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Lorenzo Musetti
ATP Challenger
05.11.20	Roberto Marcora - Lorenzo Musetti	2:1 ✺
03.11.20	Fabrizio Ornago - Lorenzo Musetti	0:2 ✺
03.11.20	Filippo Baldi - Lorenzo Musetti	Canceled ✺
ATP Sardinia
17.10.20	Lorenzo Musetti - Laslo Djere	Musetti L. retired ✺
16.10.20	Lorenzo Musetti - Yannick Hanfmann	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.5 LW??W
- Roberto Marcora
ATP Challenger
12.11.20	Roberto Marcora - Antoine Hoang	0:2 ✺
10.11.20	Maxime Cressy - Roberto Marcora	1:2 ✺
06.11.20	Cedrik-Marcel Stebe - Roberto Marcora	2:0 ✺
05.11.20	Roberto Marcora - Lorenzo Musetti	2:1 ✺
03.11.20	Roberto Marcora - Stefano Napolitano	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 13.2 LWLWW

Latest Head to Head

ATP Challenger
05.11.20	Roberto Marcora - Lorenzo Musetti	2:1

Lorenzo Musetti - Roberto Marcora: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide