Match Info

Date: 22 September 2022, Thursday 🏁 Finished

Where to Watch on TV:

Country	Kick-Off	TV Channels
Australia	22:00	beIN Sports
France	14:00	beIN Sports
Germany	14:00	Sky Sport Tennis
Portugal	13:00	Sport TV


	Lorenzo Sonego		Gilles Simon

	1	2
	1.36	3.2	Watch
	1.42	2.8
	1.41	2.9
	1.37	2.95
	1.43	3.06
	1.44	2.75	Watch
	1.4	2.95	Watch
	1.41	2.9
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.41 ↓ (1.5)	2.94 ↑ (2.38)

The best margin for this event is 2.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Lorenzo Sonego
67.7%

Gilles Simon
32.3%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

61.3%

38.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

63.8%

36.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Lorenzo Sonego has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.4%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Lorenzo Sonego's performance.

Gilles Simon has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.4%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Gilles Simon might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Lorenzo Sonego than the current prediction. (-3.9%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Gilles Simon than the current prediction. (+3.9%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
52.9%	0%	47.1%

Lorenzo Sonego - Gilles Simon Predictions

Users Predictions: 34 users predict this event. Sonego will win (votes: 18 - 52.9%). Simon will win (votes: 16 - 47.1%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Sonego: 36.1% – 69.7%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Preview

Both players are now playing unstable.

Sonego could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

In this match Sonego is a favorite.

Last 1 head-to-head matches Sonego won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 2-0.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Lorenzo Sonego
ATP Metz
19.09.22	Aslan Karatsev - Lorenzo Sonego	0:2 ✺
ATP US Open
29.08.22	Lorenzo Sonego - Jordan Thompson	2:3 ✺
ATP Winston-Salem
24.08.22	Lorenzo Sonego - Maxime Cressy	1:2 ✺
23.08.22	Lorenzo Sonego - Alejandro Tabilo	2:0 ✺
ATP Cincinnati
16.08.22	Lorenzo Sonego - Ben Shelton	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 2.9 WLLWL
- Gilles Simon
ATP Metz
20.09.22	Gilles Simon - David Goffin	2:0 ✺
ATP Challenger
13.09.22	Dominic Thiem - Gilles Simon	2:1 ✺
30.08.22	Gilles Simon - Matheus Pucinelli De Almeida	Canceled
ATP US Open
25.08.22	Gilles Simon - Matteo Arnaldi	1:2 ✺
24.08.22	Michael Mmoh - Gilles Simon	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.7 WL?LW

Latest Head to Head

ATP Cagliari
08.04.21	Gilles Simon - Lorenzo Sonego	0:2

Lorenzo Sonego - Gilles Simon