Match Info

ITF MEN - SINGLES: M25 Uriage, clay - 1/8-finals

Date: 17 July 2025, Thursday 🏁 Finished

Location: Uriage 🌤️ ... 🔴 Clay


	Louis Tessa		Nikolay Vylegzhanin

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Louis Tessa
25.7%

Nikolay Vylegzhanin
74.3%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

29.3%

70.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

25.3%

74.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Louis Tessa has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.6%)

Nikolay Vylegzhanin has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.6%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Louis Tessa than the current prediction. (-0.4%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Nikolay Vylegzhanin than the current prediction. (+0.4%)

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Tessa is ranked ATP: 812. Vylegzhanin is ranked ATP: 521.

Tessa is going through a rough patch (last 5 games: 1 wins).

Vylegzhanin has been unpredictable lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).

Vylegzhanin may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

In this match, Vylegzhanin is seen as the favorite.

In recent times, the players did not meet on the field.

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Louis Tessa
ITF Tournaments
16.07.25	Louis Tessa - Evan Wen	2:0 ✺
09.07.25	Lucas Bouquet - Louis Tessa	2:1 ✺
25.06.25	Younes Lalami Laaroussi - Louis Tessa	2:1 ✺
18.06.25	Ilyas Milad Fahim - Louis Tessa	2:0 ✺
27.05.25	Louis Tessa - Ezequiel Monferrer	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 1.3 WLLLL
- Nikolay Vylegzhanin
ITF Tournaments
15.07.25	Ferdinand Livet Novkirichka - Nikolay Vylegzhanin	1:2 ✺
10.07.25	Thomas Faurel - Nikolay Vylegzhanin	2:0 ✺
08.07.25	Pierre Antoine Tailleu - Nikolay Vylegzhanin	0:2 ✺
ATP Challenger
29.06.25	Niels Visker - Nikolay Vylegzhanin	2:0 ✺
ITF Tournaments
25.06.25	Nikolay Vylegzhanin - Georgii Kravchenko	Canceled ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 2.1 WLWL?

Louis Tessa - Nikolay Vylegzhanin