Match Info

ITF MEN - SINGLES: M15 Monastir 37 (Tunisia), hard - 1/8-finals

Date: 12 September 2024, Thursday


	Louis Tessa		Samir Hamza Reguig

	1	2
	1.69	2.01
	1.7	2.04	Watch
	1.67	2.1
	1.69	2.06	Watch
	1.69	2.01
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.69 ↓ (2.16)	2.04 ↑ (1.64)

The best margin for this event is 7.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Louis Tessa
54.8%

Samir Hamza Reguig
45.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

43.2%

56.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

41.9%

58.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Louis Tessa has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+11.6%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Louis Tessa's performance.

Samir Hamza Reguig has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-11.6%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Samir Hamza Reguig might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Louis Tessa than the current prediction. (-12.9%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Louis Tessa that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Samir Hamza Reguig than the current prediction. (+12.9%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Samir Hamza Reguig could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
88.9%	0%	11.1%

Louis Tessa - Samir Hamza Reguig Predictions

Users Predictions: Louis Tessa will win (8 of 9 users predict this - 88.89%).
Confidence interval (95%): 68.36% – 100%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Preview

Tessa is ranked ATP: 746. Hamza Reguig is ranked ATP: 747.

Recent matches Tessa is playing shaky (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Hamza Reguig is in a very good shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 4).

Hamza Reguig could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

The chances to win of two players are almost the same in this match.

Recently, the players did not play each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Louis Tessa
ITF Tournaments
11.09.24	Alexandre Aubriot - Louis Tessa	0:2 ✺
05.09.24	Alvin Nicholas Tudorica - Louis Tessa	2:0 ✺
04.09.24	Artur Kukasian - Louis Tessa	0:2 ✺
29.08.24	Joris Moret - Louis Tessa	2:1 ✺
28.08.24	Arthur Bonnaud - Louis Tessa	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.3 WLWLW
- Samir Hamza Reguig
ITF Tournaments
11.09.24	Samir Hamza Reguig - Mousa Alkotop	2:0 ✺
08.09.24	Samir Hamza Reguig - James Story	1:2 ✺
07.09.24	Alvin Nicholas Tudorica - Samir Hamza Reguig	0:2 ✺
06.09.24	Maximus Jones - Samir Hamza Reguig	0:2 ✺
05.09.24	Goncalo Marques - Samir Hamza Reguig	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 12 WLWWW

Louis Tessa - Samir Hamza Reguig: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide