Match Info

CHALLENGER WOMEN - SINGLES: Cancun (Mexico), hard - 1/16-finals

Date: 11 February 2025, Tuesday


	Louisa Chirico		Maria Lourdes Carle

	1	2
	3.75	1.25	Watch
	3.6	1.22	Watch
	4.18	1.24
	4.24	1.21	Watch
	3.5	1.29
	3.82	1.28	Watch
	3.6	1.22
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.81 ↑ (2.75)	1.24 ↓ (1.4)

The best margin for this event is 4.3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Louisa Chirico
24.6%

Maria Lourdes Carle
75.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

33.7%

66.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

31.3%

68.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Louisa Chirico has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-9.1%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Louisa Chirico's form might have worsened.

Maria Lourdes Carle has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+9.1%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Maria Lourdes Carle's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Louisa Chirico than the current prediction. (+6.7%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Louisa Chirico, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Maria Lourdes Carle than the current prediction. (-6.7%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Maria Lourdes Carle, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Louisa Chirico - Maria Lourdes Carle Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2

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Preview

Let's enjoy game between two mid-table teams (ranked 8 in the zone Promotion ~ NBA (Promotion ~ Play Offs: ) and 9 in the zone Promotion ~ NBA (Promotion ~ Play Offs: )).

Last 5 head-to-head matches Dallas won 2.

Two teams are playing changeable.

Sacramento could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

Recently Dallas have a series of guest games.

In this match the chances to win of both teams are almost equal.

Last 20 head-to-head matches Dallas won 10 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 10 matches and goals 2224:2212 (average 111.2:110.6).

Including matches at home between the teams Dallas won 4 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 5 matches and goals 1012:1033 (average 112.4:114.8).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Louisa Chirico
ITF Tournaments
28.01.25	Eva Vedder - Louisa Chirico	2:0 ✺
24.01.25	Carson Branstine - Louisa Chirico	2:0 ✺
23.01.25	Makenna Jones - Louisa Chirico	0:2 ✺
WTA Australian Open
07.01.25	Kristina Mladenovic - Louisa Chirico	2:0 ✺
WTA Auckland
27.12.24	Lina Glushko - Louisa Chirico	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 1.3 LLWLL
- Maria Lourdes Carle
WTA Australian Open
13.01.25	Maria Lourdes Carle - Amanda Anisimova	0:2 ✺
WTA Hobart
07.01.25	Maria Lourdes Carle - McCartney Kessler	0:2 ✺
05.01.25	Maria Lourdes Carle - Jessica Bouzas Maneiro	2:1 ✺
04.01.25	Renata Zarazua - Maria Lourdes Carle	1:2 ✺
03.01.25	Catherine Aulia - Maria Lourdes Carle	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10 LLWWW

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