Match Info

WTA - SINGLES: Hobart (Australia) - Qualification, hard - Final

Date: 4 January 2025, Saturday


	Renata Zarazua		Maria Lourdes Carle

	1	2
	1.4	2.7
	1.41	2.7	Watch
	1.43	2.92	Watch
	1.44	2.62
	1.42	2.73	Watch
	1.41	2.7
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.42 ↓ (1.56)	2.73 ↑ (2.27)

The best margin for this event is 4.2%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Renata Zarazua
65.8%

Maria Lourdes Carle
34.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

59.3%

40.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

57.3%

42.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Renata Zarazua has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.5%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Renata Zarazua's performance.

Maria Lourdes Carle has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.5%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Maria Lourdes Carle might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Renata Zarazua than the current prediction. (-8.5%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Renata Zarazua that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Maria Lourdes Carle than the current prediction. (+8.5%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Maria Lourdes Carle could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
66.7%	0%	33.3%

Renata Zarazua - Maria Lourdes Carle Predictions

Users Predictions: 6 users predict this event. Zarazua will win (votes: 4 - 66.7%). Carle will win (votes: 2 - 33.3%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Preview

Zarazua is ranked WTA: 75. Carle is ranked WTA: 94.

Now both players are in good shape.

Zarazua could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

Zarazua will have a poor advantage in this game.

Last 2 head-to-head matches Zarazua won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 2:3 (average 1:1.5).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Renata Zarazua
WTA Hobart
03.01.25	Renata Zarazua - Haruka Kaji	2:0 ✺
WTA Brisbane
30.12.24	Aryna Sabalenka - Renata Zarazua	2:0 ✺
28.12.24	Viktoriya Tomova - Renata Zarazua	0:2 ✺
ATP Challenger
25.11.24	Renata Zarazua - Varvara Lepchenko	Canceled ✺
24.11.24	Renata Zarazua - Hanna Chang	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.2 WLW?W
- Maria Lourdes Carle
WTA Hobart
03.01.25	Catherine Aulia - Maria Lourdes Carle	0:2 ✺
ATP Challenger
08.12.24	Maria Lourdes Carle - Ylena In-Albon	1:2 ✺
06.12.24	Maria Lourdes Carle - Katarzyna Kawa	2:0 ✺
04.12.24	Maria Lourdes Carle - Kristina Mladenovic	2:1 ✺
03.12.24	Maria Lourdes Carle - Mariia Tkacheva	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.8 WLWWW

Latest Head to Head

ATP Challenger
09.12.23	Maria Lourdes Carle - Renata Zarazua	1:2
WTA Billie Jean King Cup Group I
16.04.22	Renata Zarazua - Maria Lourdes Carle	0:2

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