Match Info

ITF MEN - SINGLES: M15 Trier, clay - 1/16-finals

Date: 12 August 2026, Wednesday


	Luca Castagnola		Bruno Fernandez

	1	2
	2.05	1.65
	2.08	1.67
	2.12	1.71
	2.08	1.65
	2.09	1.69
	2.06	1.68	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.08 ↓ (2.24)	1.68 ↑ (1.59)

The most likely Over/Under: 21.50

The best margin for this event is 5.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Luca Castagnola
44.6%

Bruno Fernandez
55.4%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

41.5%

58.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Luca Castagnola has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.1%)

Bruno Fernandez has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.1%)

Luca Castagnola - Bruno Fernandez Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2

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Preview

Castagnola is ranked ATP: 798. Fernandez is ranked ATP: 642.

Castagnola has been quite unpredictable recently (last 5 games: 2 wins).

Castagnola may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

The probability of winning is almost the same for both players in this match.

Recently, there has been no match between the players.

Last Results with these Odds

Luca Castagnola - the odds 2.24 are the expected chance of winning is 41.51%, but this team recently wins 50% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Luca Castagnola
ATP Challenger
03.08.26	Luca Castagnola - Georgi Georgiev	0:2 ✺
02.08.26	Luca Castagnola - Yoan Naydenov	2:0 ✺
ITF Tournaments
29.07.26	Luca Castagnola - Vladyslav Orlov	0:2 ✺
28.07.26	Luca Castagnola - Luca Parenti	2:0 ✺
19.07.26	Dimitris Sakellaridis - Luca Castagnola	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 2.1 LWLWL
- Bruno Fernandez
ATP Challenger
06.07.26	Juan Pablo Varillas Patino-Samudio - Bruno Fernandez	2:1 ✺
30.06.26	Bruno Fernandez - Rodrigo Pacheco Mendez	1:2 ✺
25.06.26	Nicolas Kicker - Bruno Fernandez	2:1 ✺
15.06.26	Bruno Fernandez - Nick Hardt	1:2 ✺
10.06.26	Nick Hardt - Bruno Fernandez	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 0 LLLLL

Upcoming Matches

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Luca Castagnola
ITF Tournaments
16.10.26	Sergio Callejon Hernando - Luca Castagnola	✺

Luca Castagnola - Bruno Fernandez: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide