Match Info

CHALLENGER MEN - SINGLES: Rovereto (Italy) - Qualification, hard (indoor) - Semi-finals

Date: 17 November 2024, Sunday


	Luca Castagnola		Edoardo Lavagno

	1	2
			Watch
	1.6	2.15
	1.62	2.16	Watch
	1.62	2.25
	1.61	2.24	Watch
	1.67	2.1	Watch
	1.67	2.12	Watch
	1.62	2.16
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.63 ↑ (1.61)	2.17 ↓ (2.21)

The best margin for this event is 6.2%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Luca Castagnola
57.1%

Edoardo Lavagno
42.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

57.9%

42.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

60.6%

39.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Luca Castagnola has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.8%)

Edoardo Lavagno has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.8%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Luca Castagnola than the current prediction. (+3.5%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Edoardo Lavagno than the current prediction. (-3.5%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
20%	0%	80%

Luca Castagnola - Edoardo Lavagno Predictions

Users Predictions: 5 users predict this event. Castagnola will win (votes: 1 - 20%). Lavagno will win (votes: 4 - 80%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Preview

Castagnola is ranked ATP: 711. Lavagno is ranked ATP: 570.

Recent matches Castagnola is playing changeable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Lavagno is in cheap shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Lavagno could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

In this match the chances to achieve triumph for both players are almost equal.

Recently, the players did not play each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Luca Castagnola
ITF Tournaments
01.11.24	Andrea Guerrieri - Luca Castagnola	2:0 ✺
31.10.24	Oskari Paldanius - Luca Castagnola	1:2 ✺
29.10.24	David Fix - Luca Castagnola	1:2 ✺
23.10.24	Luca Castagnola - Kacper Szymkowiak	1:2 ✺
16.10.24	Luca Castagnola - Inaki Montes De La Torre	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.8 LWWLL
- Edoardo Lavagno
ATP Challenger
11.11.24	Patrick Maloney - Edoardo Lavagno	2:0 ✺
03.11.24	Toby Alex Kodat - Edoardo Lavagno	2:0 ✺
ITF Tournaments
23.10.24	Edoardo Lavagno - Diego Dedura-Palomero	0:2 ✺
22.10.24	Mariano Tammaro - Edoardo Lavagno	0:2 ✺
ATP Challenger
06.10.24	Joao Lucas Reis Da Silva - Edoardo Lavagno	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 1.3 LLLWL

Luca Castagnola - Edoardo Lavagno: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide