Match Info

Date: 17 July 2022, Sunday 🏁 Finished


	Luca Castagnola		Giovanni Oradini

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Luca Castagnola
31.8%

Giovanni Oradini
68.2%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

32.7%

67.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

28.7%

71.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Luca Castagnola has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.9%)

Giovanni Oradini has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.9%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Luca Castagnola than the current prediction. (-3.1%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Giovanni Oradini than the current prediction. (+3.1%)

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Castagnola is in awful shape (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Recent matches Oradini is playing unpredictable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Castagnola could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

In this match Oradini is a favorite.

Recently, the players did not play each other.

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Luca Castagnola
ITF Tournaments
13.07.22	Ergi Kirkin - Luca Castagnola	2:0 ✺
06.07.22	Moez Echargui - Luca Castagnola	2:1 ✺
05.07.22	Daniele Capecchi - Luca Castagnola	0:2 ✺
29.06.22	Jurgen Briand - Luca Castagnola	2:0 ✺
22.06.22	Luca Castagnola - Axel Garcian	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.8 LLWLL
- Giovanni Oradini
ATP Challenger
10.07.22	Matteo Gigante - Giovanni Oradini	2:0 ✺
ITF Tournaments
07.07.22	Khumoun Sultanov - Giovanni Oradini	2:1 ✺
06.07.22	Alessandro Pecci - Giovanni Oradini	0:2 ✺
05.07.22	Oleksandr Ovcharenko - Giovanni Oradini	0:2 ✺
01.07.22	Oleksandr Ovcharenko - Giovanni Oradini	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.6 LLWWL

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Giovanni Oradini
ITF Tournaments
29.10.26	Giovanni Oradini - Andrea Colombo	✺

Luca Castagnola - Giovanni Oradini