Match Info
ITF MEN - SINGLES: M15 Selva Gardena, hard - 1/8-finalsDate: 28 October 2026, Wednesday ๐ Finished Location: Selva Gardena ๐ค๏ธ ... ๐ต Hard
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 |
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 |
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Luca Castagnola |
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Jake Fellows |
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1 |
X |
2 |
|
 |
1.36 |
|
2.80 |
|
 |
1.43 |
|
2.60 |
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 |
1.39 |
|
2.71 |
 Watch |
 |
1.44 |
|
2.7 |
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 |
1.41 |
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2.63 |
Watch |
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
1.41 ↓
(1.59) |
|
2.69 ↑
(2.16) |
|
- The most likely Over/Under: 21.00
- The best margin for this event is 6.5%, offered by
#Advertisement. For Live Stream GEO restrictions apply. Funded account required. GamblingTherapy.org. 18+ Current Win Probability
Luca Castagnola
65.7% | Jake Fellows
34.3% |
Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML EstimationAnalysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:Luca Castagnola has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+8.1%)Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Luca Castagnola's performance.Jake Fellows has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-8.1%)Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Jake Fellows might be facing challenges that affect their performance.ML Model estimates a lower probability for Luca Castagnola than the current prediction. (-12.9%)Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Luca Castagnola that the model has picked up on.ML Model estimates a higher probability for Jake Fellows than the current prediction. (+12.9%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Jake Fellows could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats. 
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Preview
Castagnola is ranked ATP: 793., and Fellows is ranked ATP: 1382..Each of the two players is seeking greater consistency after recent ups and downs.Fellows could enjoy a physical edge thanks to more rest days ahead of this match. Castagnola is expected to hold a slight competitive edge in this match. No recent head-to-head matches have been recorded between these two competitors.
Last Results with these Odds
Luca Castagnola - the odds 1.59 are the expected chance of winning is 57.6%, but this team recently wins 86% of matches with these odds.
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