Match Info

Date: 27 July 2022, Wednesday


	Luca Castelnuovo		Harry Wendelken

	1	2
	3.5	1.25	Watch
	2.75	1.39
	3.15	1.28
	3.48	1.29
	3.25	1.33
	3.4	1.3	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.26 ↑ (2.78)	1.31 ↓ (1.42)

The best margin for this event is 6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Luca Castelnuovo
28.6%

Harry Wendelken
71.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

33.8%

66.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

33.8%

66.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Luca Castelnuovo has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.2%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Luca Castelnuovo's form might have worsened.

Harry Wendelken has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.2%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Harry Wendelken's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Luca Castelnuovo than the current prediction. (+5.2%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Luca Castelnuovo, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Harry Wendelken than the current prediction. (-5.2%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Harry Wendelken, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

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Preview

The game of competitors is shaky now.

Castelnuovo could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

Wendelken will have a small advantage in this match.

Recently, the players did not play each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Luca Castelnuovo
ITF Tournaments
26.07.22	Lucas Catarina - Luca Castelnuovo	1:2 ✺
12.07.22	Luca Castelnuovo - Stuart Parker	0:2 ✺
22.06.22	Luca Castelnuovo - Orel Kimhi	Castelnuovo L. retired ✺
17.06.22	Sahar Simon - Luca Castelnuovo	2:0 ✺
16.06.22	Shinnosuke Hiramatsu - Luca Castelnuovo	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 14.6 WL?LW
- Harry Wendelken
ITF Tournaments
26.07.22	Harry Wendelken - James Story	2:1 ✺
13.07.22	Gonzalo Bueno - Harry Wendelken	2:1 ✺
12.07.22	Giammarco Gandolfi - Harry Wendelken	0:2 ✺
04.07.22	Francesco Forti - Harry Wendelken	2:0 ✺
ATP Challenger
06.06.22	Marius Copil - Harry Wendelken	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.4 WLWLL

Luca Castelnuovo - Harry Wendelken: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide