Match Info

ITF MEN - SINGLES: M15 Nonthaburi 3, hard - 1/8-finals

Date: 27 March 2025, Thursday 🏁 Finished

Location: Nonthaburi 3 🌤️ ... 🔵 Hard


	Luca Castelnuovo		Hayden Jones

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Luca Castelnuovo
63.1%

Hayden Jones
36.9%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

62.5%

37.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

64.6%

35.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Luca Castelnuovo has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.6%)

Hayden Jones has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.6%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Luca Castelnuovo than the current prediction. (+1.5%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Hayden Jones than the current prediction. (-1.5%)

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Castelnuovo is ranked ATP: 748. Jones is ranked ATP: 1089.

Recent matches Castelnuovo is playing mutable (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Jones is in cheap shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Jones could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

Castelnuovo will have a small advantage in this match.

Recently, the players did not play each other.

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Luca Castelnuovo
ITF Tournaments
04.03.25	Luca Castelnuovo - Taisei Ichikawa	1:2 ✺
28.02.25	Tianhui Zhang - Luca Castelnuovo	2:0 ✺
27.02.25	Duck Hee Lee - Luca Castelnuovo	1:2 ✺
26.02.25	Luca Castelnuovo - Aliaksandr Liaonenka	2:0 ✺
24.02.25	Sheng Tang - Luca Castelnuovo	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.2 LLWWW
- Hayden Jones
ITF Tournaments
25.03.25	Hayden Jones - Kuan-Shou Chen	2:0 ✺
18.03.25	Hayden Jones - Filip Peliwo	0:2 ✺
10.03.25	Etienne Donnet - Hayden Jones	2:0 ✺
05.03.25	Artur Kukasian - Hayden Jones	2:0 ✺
24.02.25	Thanapet Chanta - Hayden Jones	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 1.3 WLLLL

Luca Castelnuovo - Hayden Jones