Match Info

CHALLENGER MEN - SINGLES: Pune - Qualification, hard - Semi-finals

Date: 22 February 2026, Sunday


	Luca Castelnuovo		S D Prajwal Dev

	1	2
			Watch
	1.38	2.8	Watch
	1.4	2.74	Watch
	1.36	3
	1.38	2.81	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.38 ↓ (1.49)	2.84 ↑ (2.46)

The best margin for this event is 6.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Luca Castelnuovo
67.3%

S D Prajwal Dev
32.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

62.3%

37.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

60.8%

39.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Luca Castelnuovo has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5%)

S D Prajwal Dev has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Luca Castelnuovo than the current prediction. (-6.5%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Luca Castelnuovo that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for S D Prajwal Dev than the current prediction. (+6.5%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that S D Prajwal Dev could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
100%	0%	0%

Luca Castelnuovo - S D Prajwal Dev Predictions

Users Predictions: 4 users predict this event. Castelnuovo will win (votes: 4 - 100%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

AH -3.5 Games - Castelnuovo (1.79) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Castelnuovo (votes: 1 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Preview

Castelnuovo is ranked ATP: 415. Dev is ranked ATP: 610.

Castelnuovo is currently in amazing form (last 5 games: 4 wins).

In recent matches, Dev has shown inconsistent performance (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).

Dev may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

In this match, Castelnuovo is the team to beat.

In the last 1 head-to-head match, Castelnuovo won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 2:0.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Luca Castelnuovo
ATP Challenger
16.02.26	Luca Castelnuovo - Alexandr Binda	Binda A. walkover ✺
15.02.26	Luca Castelnuovo - Parth Aggarwal	2:0 ✺
13.02.26	Maks Kasnikowski - Luca Castelnuovo	2:0 ✺
11.02.26	Luca Castelnuovo - Oliver Crawford	2:1 ✺
10.02.26	Mitsuki Wei Kang Leong - Luca Castelnuovo	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11.5 ?WLWW
- S D Prajwal Dev
ATP Challenger
15.02.26	Alexander Donski - S D Prajwal Dev	2:0 ✺
10.02.26	Lorenzo Carboni - S D Prajwal Dev	Dev S D P. retired ✺
08.02.26	S D Prajwal Dev - Abhinav Sanjeev Shanmugam	2:0 ✺
ITF Tournaments
15.01.26	Max Houkes - S D Prajwal Dev	2:0 ✺
14.01.26	S D Prajwal Dev - Abhinav Sanjeev Shanmugam	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.5 L?WLW

Latest Head to Head

ITF Tournaments
31.03.21	S D Prajwal Dev - Luca Castelnuovo	0:2

Luca Castelnuovo - S D Prajwal Dev: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide