Match Info

CHALLENGER MEN - SINGLES: ORTISEI (ITALY), HARD (INDOOR) - 1/16-FINALS

Date: 25 October 2023, Wednesday


	Luca Giacomini		Louis Wessels

	1	2
			Watch
	2.45	1.48
	2.4	1.52	Watch
	2.5	1.55
	2.51	1.55
	2.62	1.44	Watch
	2.52	1.48	Watch
	2.6	1.43
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.51 ↓ (2.92)	1.49 ↑ (1.38)

The best margin for this event is 4.4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Luca Giacomini
37.3%

Louis Wessels
62.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

32.1%

67.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

31.3%

68.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Luca Giacomini has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.2%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Luca Giacomini's performance.

Louis Wessels has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.2%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Louis Wessels might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Luca Giacomini than the current prediction. (-6%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Luca Giacomini that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Louis Wessels than the current prediction. (+6%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Louis Wessels could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
40%	0%	60%

Luca Giacomini - Louis Wessels Predictions

Users Predictions: 5 users predict this event. Giacomini will win (votes: 2 - 40%). Wessels will win (votes: 3 - 60%).

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Preview

Giacomini is in undoubted good shape (in the last 5 games wins - 4).

Recent matches Wessels is playing unpredictable (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Giacomini could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

Wessels will have a poor advantage in this game.

Recently, the players did not play each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Luca Giacomini
ATP Challenger
23.10.23	Luca Giacomini - Ryuki Matsuda	2:0 ✺
22.10.23	Hady Habib - Luca Giacomini	0:2 ✺
ITF Tournaments
20.10.23	Luca Giacomini - Constantin Bittoun Kouzmine	1:2 ✺
19.10.23	Luca Giacomini - Sean Cuenin	Giacomini L. retired ✺
18.10.23	Luca Giacomini - Nicolas Parizzia	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.8 WWL?W
- Louis Wessels
ATP Challenger
15.10.23	Louis Wessels - Akira Santillan	0:2 ✺
ITF Tournaments
27.09.23	Louis Wessels - Felix Gill	0:2 ✺
24.09.23	Jonas Forejtek - Louis Wessels	1:2 ✺
23.09.23	Louis Wessels - Martin Krumich	2:0 ✺
22.09.23	Matej Dodig - Louis Wessels	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.3 LLWWW

Luca Giacomini - Louis Wessels: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide