Match Info

CHALLENGER MEN - SINGLES: Koblenz (Germany), hard (indoor) - Final

Date: 2 February 2025, Sunday


	Luca Nardi		Ugo Blanchet

	1	2
	1.36	3	Watch
	1.36	2.9
	1.35	2.95	Watch
	1.35	3.4
	1.36	3.12	Watch
	1.36	3	Watch
	1.36	2.99	Watch
	1.35	2.95
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.36 ↓ (1.57)	3.04 ↑ (2.27)

The best margin for this event is 3.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Luca Nardi
69.1%

Ugo Blanchet
30.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

59.1%

40.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

59.9%

40.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Luca Nardi has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+10%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Luca Nardi's performance.

Ugo Blanchet has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-10%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Ugo Blanchet might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Luca Nardi than the current prediction. (-9.2%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Luca Nardi that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Ugo Blanchet than the current prediction. (+9.2%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Ugo Blanchet could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Luca Nardi - Ugo Blanchet Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Preview

Nardi is ranked ATP: 83. Blanchet is ranked ATP: 226.

Nardi in the last match got series victories and it is in a super good shape (in the last 5 games wins - 5).

Blanchet is in super good shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 4).

Nardi could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

In this match Nardi is a favorite.

Our prediction for today's Nardi to win the game is with odds 1.36.

Last 1 head-to-head matches Nardi won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 0:2

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Luca Nardi
ATP Challenger
01.02.25	Giulio Zeppieri - Luca Nardi	0:2 ✺
31.01.25	Luca Nardi - Mika Brunold	2:0 ✺
30.01.25	Geoffrey Blancaneaux - Luca Nardi	0:2 ✺
28.01.25	Jelle Sels - Luca Nardi	0:2 ✺
27.01.25	Luca Nardi - Ryan Nijboer	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.6 WWWWW
- Ugo Blanchet
ATP Challenger
01.02.25	Ugo Blanchet - Jakub Paul	2:0 ✺
31.01.25	Ugo Blanchet - Matteo Martineau	2:1 ✺
30.01.25	Ugo Blanchet - Max Hans Rehberg	2:1 ✺
27.01.25	Ugo Blanchet - Michael Geerts	2:1 ✺
23.01.25	Pierre-Hugues Herbert - Ugo Blanchet	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.3 WWWWL

Latest Head to Head

ATP Challenger
12.11.24	Ugo Blanchet - Luca Nardi	2:0

Luca Nardi - Ugo Blanchet: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide