Match Info

CHALLENGER MEN - SINGLES: Koblenz (Germany), hard (indoor) - Quarter-finals

Date: 31 January 2025, Friday


	Luca Nardi		Mika Brunold

	1	2
	1.5	2.5	Watch
	1.57	2.25	Watch
	1.54	2.33	Watch
	1.59	2.47
	1.62	2.24
	1.5	2.5	Watch
	1.55	2.36	Watch
	1.54	2.33
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.55 ↓ (1.74)	2.37 ↑ (1.96)

The best margin for this event is 3.4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Luca Nardi
60.5%

Mika Brunold
39.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

53%

47%

Our Initial ML Estimation

52.8%

47.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Luca Nardi has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+7.5%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Luca Nardi's performance.

Mika Brunold has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-7.5%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Mika Brunold might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Luca Nardi than the current prediction. (-7.7%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Luca Nardi that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Mika Brunold than the current prediction. (+7.7%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Mika Brunold could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
63.6%	0%	36.4%

Luca Nardi - Mika Brunold Predictions

Users Predictions: 11 users predict this event. Nardi will win (votes: 7 - 63.6%). Brunold will win (votes: 4 - 36.4%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Nardi: 35.2% – 92%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Preview

Nardi is ranked ATP: 83. Brunold is ranked ATP: 334.

Now both players are in good shape.

Nardi could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

The chances to win of two players are almost the same in this match.

Recently, the players did not play each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Luca Nardi
ATP Challenger
30.01.25	Geoffrey Blancaneaux - Luca Nardi	0:2 ✺
28.01.25	Jelle Sels - Luca Nardi	0:2 ✺
27.01.25	Luca Nardi - Ryan Nijboer	2:0 ✺
26.01.25	Luca Nardi - Tom Gentzsch	2:1 ✺
ATP Australian Open
13.01.25	Gabriel Diallo - Luca Nardi	3:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.9 WWWWL
- Mika Brunold
ATP Challenger
30.01.25	Mika Brunold - Christoph Negritu	2:0 ✺
28.01.25	Justin Engel - Mika Brunold	0:2 ✺
27.01.25	Jakub Nicod - Mika Brunold	0:2 ✺
26.01.25	Tristan Lamasine - Mika Brunold	0:2 ✺
22.01.25	Mika Brunold - Sascha Gueymard Wayenburg	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.6 WWWWL

Luca Nardi - Mika Brunold: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide