Match Info

CHALLENGER MEN - SINGLES: Istanbul - Qualification, hard - Final

Date: 1 September 2025, Monday


	Luca Potenza		Arda Azkara

	1	2
			Watch
	1.55	2.25
	1.57	2.26
	1.56	2.38
	1.69	2.10	Watch
	1.57	2.25	Watch
	1.58	2.29	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.59 ↓ (1.68)	2.26 ↑ (2.01)

The best margin for this event is 6.1%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Luca Potenza
58.7%

Arda Azkara
41.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

54.5%

45.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

54.6%

45.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Luca Potenza has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.2%)

Arda Azkara has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.2%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Luca Potenza than the current prediction. (-4.1%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Arda Azkara than the current prediction. (+4.1%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
100%	0%	0%

Luca Potenza - Arda Azkara Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Preview

Potenza is ranked ATP: 479. Azkara is ranked ATP: 569.

Both players are showing inconsistent performances lately.

Potenza may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

Potenza might have a minor edge in this game.

In recent times, the players did not meet on the field.

Last Results with these Odds

Luca Potenza - the odds 1.68 are the expected chance of winning is 54.47%, but this team recently wins 43% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Luca Potenza
ATP Challenger
31.08.25	Luca Potenza - Manas Manoj Dhamne	2:0 ✺
19.08.25	Blaise Bicknell - Luca Potenza	2:0 ✺
18.08.25	Luca Potenza - Mitsuki Wei Kang Leong	2:1 ✺
17.08.25	Luca Potenza - Ioannis Kountourakis	2:0 ✺
11.08.25	Rafael Jodar - Luca Potenza	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.2 WLWWL
- Arda Azkara
ATP Challenger
31.08.25	Bora Sengul - Arda Azkara	0:2 ✺
29.07.25	Arda Azkara - Woobin Shin	0:2 ✺
28.07.25	Arda Azkara - Evgeny Philippov	2:0 ✺
27.07.25	Arda Azkara - Islam Orynbasar	2:0 ✺
ITF Tournaments
06.07.25	Arda Azkara - Vadym Ursu	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.4 WLWWL

Luca Potenza - Arda Azkara: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide