Match Info

ITF MEN - SINGLES: M25 Porto, hard - Semi-finals

Date: 26 July 2025, Saturday


	Luca Potenza		Lucas Poullain

	1	2
			Watch
	2.15	1.6
	2.2	1.6	Watch
	2.27	1.6
	2.23	1.56	Watch
	2.25	1.57
	2.26	1.58	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.23 ↑ (1.83)	1.59 ↓ (1.83)

The best margin for this event is 6.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Luca Potenza
41.6%

Lucas Poullain
58.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

50%

Our Initial ML Estimation

54.8%

45.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Luca Potenza has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-8.4%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Luca Potenza's form might have worsened.

Lucas Poullain has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+8.4%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Lucas Poullain's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Luca Potenza than the current prediction. (+13.2%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Luca Potenza, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Lucas Poullain than the current prediction. (-13.2%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Lucas Poullain, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Luca Potenza - Lucas Poullain Predictions

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

AH -0.5 Games - Poullain (1.67) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Poullain (votes: 1 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2

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Preview

Potenza is ranked ATP: 517. Poullain is ranked ATP: 387.

Now, both players are in good form.

Potenza may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

The probability of winning is almost the same for both players in this match.

In the last 1 head-to-head match, Potenza won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 2:0.

Last Results with these Odds

Lucas Poullain - the odds 1.83 are the expected chance of winning is 50%, but this team recently wins 44% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Luca Potenza
ITF Tournaments
25.07.25	Luca Potenza - Tiago Torres	2:1 ✺
24.07.25	Luca Potenza - Hugo Maia	2:0 ✺
23.07.25	Mats Rosenkranz - Luca Potenza	0:2 ✺
06.07.25	Cooper Williams - Luca Potenza	2:0 ✺
05.07.25	Amr Asrawy - Luca Potenza	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.6 WWWLW
- Lucas Poullain
ITF Tournaments
25.07.25	Lucas Poullain - Mae Malige	2:1 ✺
24.07.25	Lucas Poullain - Diogo Marques	2:0 ✺
23.07.25	Lucas Poullain - Francisco Rocha	2:0 ✺
19.07.25	Lucas Poullain - Maxwell McKennon	0:2 ✺
18.07.25	Lucas Poullain - Leo Borg	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.7 WWWLW

Latest Head to Head

ITF Tournaments
17.12.20	Lucas Poullain - Luca Potenza	0:2

Luca Potenza - Lucas Poullain: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide