Match Info

ITF MEN - SINGLES: M25 Porto, hard - Quarter-finals

Date: 25 July 2025, Friday


	Lucas Poullain		Mae Malige

	1	2
			Watch
	1.67	2.05
			Watch
	1.69	2.12
	1.63	2.16	Watch
	1.62	2.2
	1.68	2.09	Watch
	1.58	2.15
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.65 ↑ (1.6)	2.13 ↓ (2.15)

The best margin for this event is 6.3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Lucas Poullain
56.4%

Mae Malige
43.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

57.3%

42.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

62.3%

37.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Lucas Poullain has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.9%)

Mae Malige has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.9%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Lucas Poullain than the current prediction. (+5.9%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Lucas Poullain, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Mae Malige than the current prediction. (-5.9%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Mae Malige, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Lucas Poullain - Mae Malige Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Preview

Poullain is ranked ATP: 387. Malige is ranked ATP: 538.

Poullain is in very good shape right now (last 5 games: 4 wins).

In recent matches, Malige has shown inconsistent performance (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).

Poullain may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

Poullain might have a minor edge in this game.

In the last 1 head-to-head match, Poullain won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 1:2.

Last Results with these Odds

Lucas Poullain - the odds 1.6 are the expected chance of winning is 57.33%, but this team recently wins 43% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Lucas Poullain
ITF Tournaments
24.07.25	Lucas Poullain - Diogo Marques	2:0 ✺
23.07.25	Lucas Poullain - Francisco Rocha	2:0 ✺
19.07.25	Lucas Poullain - Maxwell McKennon	0:2 ✺
18.07.25	Lucas Poullain - Leo Borg	2:1 ✺
17.07.25	Lucas Poullain - Mario Gonzalez Fernandez	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.7 WWLWW
- Mae Malige
ITF Tournaments
24.07.25	Mae Malige - Moez Echargui	2:0 ✺
23.07.25	Thomas Braithwaite - Mae Malige	0:2 ✺
ATP Challenger
13.07.25	Mae Malige - Arthur Reymond	0:2 ✺
ITF Tournaments
09.07.25	Mae Malige - Adria Soriano Barrera	1:2 ✺
04.07.25	Antoine Escoffier - Mae Malige	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.9 WWLLL

Latest Head to Head

ITF Tournaments
09.01.25	Mae Malige - Lucas Poullain	2:1

Lucas Poullain - Mae Malige: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide