Match Info

Date: 18 December 2020, Friday 🏁 Finished


	Luca Potenza		Omar Giacalone

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Luca Potenza
46.4%

Omar Giacalone
53.6%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

43.7%

56.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

43.1%

56.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Luca Potenza has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.7%)

Omar Giacalone has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.7%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Luca Potenza than the current prediction. (-3.3%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Omar Giacalone than the current prediction. (+3.3%)

1	X	2
91.7%	0%	8.3%

Users Predictions: Luca Potenza will win (22 of 24 users predict this - 91.67%).
Confidence interval (95%): 80.61% – 100%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2

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Potenza is in undoubted good shape (in the last 5 games wins - 4).

Recent matches Giacalone is playing changeable (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Giacalone could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

The chances to win of two players are almost the same in this match.

Recently, the players did not play each other.

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Luca Potenza
ITF Tournaments
17.12.20	Lucas Poullain - Luca Potenza	0:2 ✺
16.12.20	Luca Potenza - Aziz Ouakaa	2:0 ✺
11.12.20	Michal Dembek - Luca Potenza	2:1 ✺
10.12.20	Colin Sinclair - Luca Potenza	1:2 ✺
09.12.20	Luca Potenza - Alexander Erler	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11.3 WWLWW
- Omar Giacalone
ITF Tournaments
17.12.20	Jean Thirouin - Omar Giacalone	1:2 ✺
16.12.20	Omar Giacalone - Dan Added	2:0 ✺
10.12.20	Omar Giacalone - Artem Dubrivnyy	0:2 ✺
09.12.20	Omar Giacalone - Simone Roncalli	2:0 ✺
02.12.20	Omar Giacalone - Mats Rosenkranz	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.9 WWLWL

Luca Potenza - Omar Giacalone