Match Info

CHALLENGER MEN - SINGLES: Trieste - Qualification, clay - Final

Date: 6 July 2026, Monday


	Luca Potenza		Pietro Orlando Fellin

	1	2
			Watch
	2.25	1.55	Watch
	2.10	1.65	Watch
	2.35	1.59
	2.13	1.62	Watch
	2.30	1.57	Watch
	2.23	1.58	Watch
	2.22	1.59
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.23 ↑ (2.23)	1.59 ↑ (1.56)

The most likely Over/Under: 21.50

The best margin for this event is 5.4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Luca Potenza
41.7%

Pietro Orlando Fellin
58.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

41.3%

58.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

43.7%

56.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Luca Potenza has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.4%)

Pietro Orlando Fellin has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.4%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Luca Potenza than the current prediction. (+2%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Pietro Orlando Fellin than the current prediction. (-2%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
40%	0%	60%

Luca Potenza - Pietro Orlando Fellin Predictions

Users Predictions: 5 users predict this event. Potenza will win (votes: 2 - 40%). Fellin will win (votes: 3 - 60%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2

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Preview

Potenza is ranked ATP: 438. Fellin is ranked ATP: 446.

Potenza has had mixed results lately (last 5 games: 3 wins).

Fellin is in great form at the moment (in the last 5 games, wins – 4).

Fellin may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

Fellin could have a small edge in this match.

We predict that Fellin will win today's game, with odds of 1.62.

The players have not played against each other recently.

Last Results with these Odds

Luca Potenza - the odds 2.23 are the expected chance of winning is 41.25%, but this team recently wins 31% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Luca Potenza
ATP Challenger
05.07.26	Luca Potenza - Lorenzo Angelini	2:1 ✺
28.06.26	Matthew Donald - Luca Potenza	2:0 ✺
23.06.26	Elmer Moller - Luca Potenza	2:0 ✺
22.06.26	Luca Potenza - Kaito Uesugi	2:0 ✺
21.06.26	Luca Potenza - Matei Varbanciu	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5 WLLWW
- Pietro Orlando Fellin
ATP Challenger
05.07.26	Johannes Ingildsen - Pietro Orlando Fellin	0:2 ✺
ITF Tournaments
03.07.26	Matyas Cerny - Pietro Orlando Fellin	2:0 ✺
02.07.26	Veljko Krstic - Pietro Orlando Fellin	1:2 ✺
30.06.26	Radovan Michalik - Pietro Orlando Fellin	0:2 ✺
21.06.26	Nico Hipfl - Pietro Orlando Fellin	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.1 WLWWW

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