Match Info

CHALLENGER MEN - SINGLES: Trieste - Qualification, clay - Semi-finals

Date: 5 July 2026, Sunday


	Luca Potenza		Lorenzo Angelini

	1	2
			Watch
	1.72	1.98
	1.8	1.85	Watch
	1.74	2.15
	1.7	2.02	Watch
	1.67	2.12	Watch
	1.69	2.02	Watch
	1.8	1.85
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.73 ↓ (1.9)	2 ↑ (1.79)

The most likely Over/Under: 21.50

The best margin for this event is 4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Luca Potenza
53.6%

Lorenzo Angelini
46.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

48.5%

51.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

51.7%

48.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Luca Potenza has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.1%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Luca Potenza's performance.

Lorenzo Angelini has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.1%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Lorenzo Angelini might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Luca Potenza than the current prediction. (-1.9%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Lorenzo Angelini than the current prediction. (+1.9%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
33.3%	0%	66.7%

Luca Potenza - Lorenzo Angelini Predictions

Users Predictions: 3 users predict this event. Potenza will win (votes: 1 - 33.3%). Angelini will win (votes: 2 - 66.7%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Preview

Potenza is ranked ATP: 438. Angelini is ranked ATP: 683.

The recent form of both competitors has been shaky.

Potenza may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

The players have not played against each other recently.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Luca Potenza
ATP Challenger
28.06.26	Matthew Donald - Luca Potenza	2:0 ✺
23.06.26	Elmer Moller - Luca Potenza	2:0 ✺
22.06.26	Luca Potenza - Kaito Uesugi	2:0 ✺
21.06.26	Luca Potenza - Matei Varbanciu	2:0 ✺
ITF Tournaments
17.06.26	Luca Potenza - Fausto Tabacco	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 2.2 LLWWL
- Lorenzo Angelini
ITF Tournaments
05.07.26	Lorenzo Angelini - Luca Castagnola	2:0 ✺
04.07.26	Andrej Martin - Lorenzo Angelini	Martin A. Retired ✺
03.07.26	Giovanni Oradini - Lorenzo Angelini	Oradini G. Retired ✺
02.07.26	Edoardo Cherie Ligniere - Lorenzo Angelini	0:2 ✺
02.07.26	Henry Best - Lorenzo Angelini	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.6 W??WW

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