Match Info

CHALLENGER MEN - SINGLES: Abidjan, hard - 1/16-finals

Date: 15 April 2025, Tuesday


	Luca Potenza		Yanki Erel

	1	2
	1.83	1.83	Watch
	1.85	1.85
	1.85	1.85	Watch
	1.95	1.81	Watch
	1.83	1.83
	1.85	1.87	Watch
	1.85	1.85
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.86 ↓ (2.28)	1.84 ↑ (1.57)

The best margin for this event is 6.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Luca Potenza
49.8%

Yanki Erel
50.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

40.8%

59.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

41.1%

58.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Luca Potenza has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+9%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Luca Potenza's performance.

Yanki Erel has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-9%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Yanki Erel might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Luca Potenza than the current prediction. (-8.7%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Luca Potenza that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Yanki Erel than the current prediction. (+8.7%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Yanki Erel could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
60%	0%	40%

Luca Potenza - Yanki Erel Predictions

Users Predictions: 5 users predict this event. Potenza will win (votes: 3 - 60%). Erel will win (votes: 2 - 40%).

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): Yanki Erel will win (3 of 3 users predict this - 100%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Preview

Potenza is ranked ATP: 570. Erel is ranked ATP: 621.

Potenza is in a very good shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 4).

Recent matches Erel is playing changeable (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Potenza could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

Erel will have a mini benefit in this match.

Last 1 head-to-head matches Potenza won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 0:2

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Luca Potenza
ITF Tournaments
30.03.25	Lukas Pokorny - Luca Potenza	2:1 ✺
29.03.25	Dimitris Sakellaridis - Luca Potenza	1:2 ✺
28.03.25	Luca Potenza - Massimo Giunta	2:0 ✺
27.03.25	Luca Potenza - Alexandre Aubriot	2:1 ✺
26.03.25	Luca Potenza - Alan Bojarski	Bojarski A. retired ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.6 LWWW?
- Yanki Erel
ATP Challenger
14.04.25	Yanki Erel - Guillaume Dalmasso	Dalmasso G. retired ✺
13.04.25	Yanki Erel - Brandon Perez	2:0 ✺
ITF Tournaments
25.03.25	Yanki Erel - Kriish Tyagi	1:2 ✺
ATP Challenger
04.03.25	Yanki Erel - Calvin Hemery	0:2 ✺
03.03.25	Zdenek Kolar - Yanki Erel	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.3 ?WLLW

Latest Head to Head

ITF Tournaments
01.12.24	Yanki Erel - Luca Potenza	2:0

Luca Potenza - Yanki Erel: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide