Match Info

ITF MEN - SINGLES: M15 Sofia, clay - 1/16-finals

Date: 5 August 2025, Tuesday


	Luca Preda		Samuele Seghetti

	1	2
	1.21	3.8
	1.22	3.96
	1.19	4.29	Watch
	1.22	4
	1.21	4.04	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.21 ↓ (1.3)	4.02 ↑ (3.47)

The best margin for this event is 7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Luca Preda
76.9%

Samuele Seghetti
23.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

72.7%

27.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

71.7%

28.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Luca Preda has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.2%)

Samuele Seghetti has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.2%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Luca Preda than the current prediction. (-5.2%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Luca Preda that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Samuele Seghetti than the current prediction. (+5.2%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Samuele Seghetti could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

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Preview

Preda is ranked ATP: 766. Seghetti is ranked ATP: 1242.

Recent performances by Preda have been up and down (last 5 games: 3 wins).

Seghetti is going through a rough patch (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).

Preda may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

In this match, Preda is considered a favorite.

Recently, the players have not faced each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Luca Preda
ITF Tournaments
22.07.25	Mihai Razvan Marinescu - Luca Preda	1:2 ✺
19.07.25	Radu David Turcanu - Luca Preda	2:1 ✺
17.07.25	Luca Preda - Stefan Palosi	2:0 ✺
16.07.25	Calin Teodor Stirbu - Luca Preda	1:2 ✺
ATP Challenger
10.07.25	Luca Preda - Duje Ajdukovic	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.2 WLWWL
- Samuele Seghetti
ITF Tournaments
29.07.25	Samuele Seghetti - Lucas Marionneau	1:2 ✺
23.07.25	Filippo Speziali - Samuele Seghetti	2:0 ✺
17.07.25	Samuele Seghetti - Amit Vales	1:2 ✺
16.07.25	Andrej Radojicic - Samuele Seghetti	1:2 ✺
10.07.25	Denis Klok - Samuele Seghetti	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 1.1 LLLWL

Luca Preda - Samuele Seghetti: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide