Match Info

CHALLENGER MEN - SINGLES: Troyes - Qualification, clay - Final

Date: 29 June 2026, Monday


	Luca Staeheli		Yanis Ghazouani Durand

	1	2
	1.57	2.20
	1.50	2.45
	1.60	2.33
	1.55	2.3	Watch
	1.88	1.89
	1.56	2.27	Watch
	1.55	2.25
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.6 ↓ (1.85)	2.24 ↑ (1.85)

The most likely Over/Under: 21.00

The best margin for this event is 5.4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Luca Staeheli
58.3%

Yanis Ghazouani Durand
41.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

50%

Our Initial ML Estimation

47.4%

52.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Luca Staeheli has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+8.3%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Luca Staeheli's performance.

Yanis Ghazouani Durand has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-8.3%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Yanis Ghazouani Durand might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Luca Staeheli than the current prediction. (-10.9%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Luca Staeheli that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Yanis Ghazouani Durand than the current prediction. (+10.9%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Yanis Ghazouani Durand could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Luca Staeheli - Yanis Ghazouani Durand Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Preview

Staeheli is ranked ATP: 587. Ghazouani Durand is ranked ATP: 628.

Staeheli is undoubtedly in great shape (last 5 games: 4 wins).

Ghazouani Durand has been playing with ups and downs recently (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).

The probability of winning is almost the same for both players in this match.

Recently, the players have not faced each other.

Last Results with these Odds

Yanis Ghazouani Durand - the odds 1.85 are the expected chance of winning is 50%, but this team recently wins 0% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Luca Staeheli
ATP Challenger
28.06.26	Luca Staeheli - Abel Hernandez-Aguila	2:0
09.06.26	Luca Staeheli - Felix Balshaw	0:2 ✺
08.06.26	Luca Staeheli - Iliyan Radulov	2:0 ✺
07.06.26	Geoffrey Blancaneaux - Luca Staeheli	0:2 ✺
ITF Tournaments
29.05.26	Jordi Garcia Mestre - Luca Staeheli	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.1 WLWWW
- Yanis Ghazouani Durand
ATP Challenger
28.06.26	Isaac Becroft - Yanis Ghazouani Durand	0:2 ✺
ITF Tournaments
12.06.26	Sergi Perez Contri - Yanis Ghazouani Durand	2:1 ✺
10.06.26	Yanis Ghazouani Durand - Naoki Tajima	2:0 ✺
ATP Challenger
24.05.26	Yanis Ghazouani Durand - Jelle Sels	0:2 ✺
ITF Tournaments
20.05.26	Yanis Ghazouani Durand - Hernando Jose Escurra Isnardi	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 2.6 WLWLL

Luca Staeheli - Yanis Ghazouani Durand: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide