Match Info

ATP - SINGLES: MADRID (SPAIN) - QUALIFICATION, CLAY - SEMI-FINALS

Date: 24 April 2023, Monday


	Luca Van Assche		Felipe Meligeni Rodrigues Alves

	1	2
			Watch
	1.15	5
	1.17	5.1
	1.16	5
	1.18	5
	1.2	4.33
	1.14	5.05	Watch
	1.16	4.8
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.17 ↓ (1.31)	4.9 ↑ (3.36)

The best margin for this event is 4.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Luca Van Assche
80.8%

Felipe Meligeni Rodrigues Alves
19.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

71.9%

28.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

72.1%

27.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Luca Van Assche has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+8.9%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Luca Van Assche's performance.

Felipe Meligeni Rodrigues Alves has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-8.9%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Felipe Meligeni Rodrigues Alves might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Luca Van Assche than the current prediction. (-8.7%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Luca Van Assche that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Felipe Meligeni Rodrigues Alves than the current prediction. (+8.7%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Felipe Meligeni Rodrigues Alves could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
80%	0%	20%

Luca Van Assche - Felipe Meligeni Rodrigues Alves Predictions

Users Predictions: Luca Van Assche will win (20 of 25 users predict this - 80%).
Confidence interval (95%): 64.32% – 95.68%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Preview

One and the other player get a very uncertain game.

Meligeni Rodrigues Alves could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

In this match Van Assche is a favorite.

Recently, the players did not play each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Luca Van Assche
ATP Banja Luka
19.04.23	Novak Djokovic - Luca Van Assche	2:1 ✺
17.04.23	Luca Van Assche - Stanislas Wawrinka	2:1 ✺
ATP Monte Carlo
09.04.23	Ivan Gakhov - Luca Van Assche	2:1 ✺
08.04.23	Attila Balazs - Luca Van Assche	0:2 ✺
ATP Estoril
05.04.23	Luca Van Assche - Alejandro Davidovich Fokina	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.2 LWLWL
- Felipe Meligeni Rodrigues Alves
ATP Houston
02.04.23	Yosuke Watanuki - Felipe Meligeni Rodrigues Alves	2:1 ✺
01.04.23	Juncheng Shang - Felipe Meligeni Rodrigues Alves	Shang J. retired ✺
ATP Challenger
29.03.23	Maximilian Neuchrist - Felipe Meligeni Rodrigues Alves	2:0 ✺
27.03.23	Juan Pablo Ficovich - Felipe Meligeni Rodrigues Alves	0:2 ✺
ATP Miami
22.03.23	Felipe Meligeni Rodrigues Alves - Facundo Bagnis	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.4 L?LWL

Luca Van Assche - Felipe Meligeni Rodrigues Alves: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide