Match Info

ATP - SINGLES: DUBAI (UNITED ARAB EMIRATES) - QUALIFICATION, HARD - FINAL

Date: 25 February 2024, Sunday


	Luca Van Assche		Maximilian Marterer

	1	2
			Watch
	1.53	2.4	Watch
	1.6	2.2	Watch
	1.64	2.31
	1.53	2.38	Watch
	1.52	2.54	Watch
	1.57	2.41
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.57 ↓ (1.64)	2.37 ↑ (2.22)

The best margin for this event is 4.3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Luca Van Assche
60.3%

Maximilian Marterer
39.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

57.6%

42.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

56%

44%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Luca Van Assche has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.7%)

Maximilian Marterer has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.7%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Luca Van Assche than the current prediction. (-4.3%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Maximilian Marterer than the current prediction. (+4.3%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
72.7%	0%	27.3%

Luca Van Assche - Maximilian Marterer Predictions

Users Predictions: 11 users predict this event. Van Assche will win (votes: 8 - 72.7%). Marterer will win (votes: 3 - 27.3%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Van Assche: 46.4% – 99%.

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Preview

Van Assche is in awful shape (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Recent matches Marterer is playing unpredictable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Marterer could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

Van Assche will have a mini benefit in this match.

Recently, the players did not play each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Luca Van Assche
ATP Dubai
24.02.24	Luca Van Assche - Aziz Dougaz	2:0 ✺
ATP Doha
17.02.24	Luca Van Assche - Maxime Cressy	0:2 ✺
ATP Rotterdam
10.02.24	Luca Van Assche - Gijs Brouwer	0:2 ✺
ATP Marseille
07.02.24	Emil Ruusuvuori - Luca Van Assche	2:0 ✺
Davis Cup World Group
04.02.24	Tung-Lin Wu - Luca Van Assche	Canceled ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 1.2 WLLL?
- Maximilian Marterer
ATP Dubai
24.02.24	Yanki Erel - Maximilian Marterer	0:2 ✺
ATP Doha
20.02.24	Maximilian Marterer - Hugo Grenier	0:2 ✺
18.02.24	Maximilian Marterer - Vit Kopriva	0:2 ✺
17.02.24	Maximilian Marterer - Elias Ymer	2:0 ✺
ATP Rotterdam
10.02.24	Denis Shapovalov - Maximilian Marterer	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 2.6 WLLWL

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