Match Info

Date: 12 March 2022, Saturday


	Lucas Catarina		Eliakim Coulibaly

	1	2
	1.8	1.92
	1.77	1.87
	1.8	1.94
	1.91	1.8
	1.85	1.95	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.83 ↓ (2.09)	1.9 ↑ (1.68)

The best margin for this event is 5.3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Lucas Catarina
50.9%

Eliakim Coulibaly
49.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

44.6%

55.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

40.6%

59.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Lucas Catarina has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.3%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Lucas Catarina's performance.

Eliakim Coulibaly has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.3%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Eliakim Coulibaly might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Lucas Catarina than the current prediction. (-10.3%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Lucas Catarina that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Eliakim Coulibaly than the current prediction. (+10.3%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Eliakim Coulibaly could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

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Preview

Catarina is in real good shape (in the last 5 games wins - 4).

Recent matches Coulibaly is playing changeable (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Coulibaly could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

The possibility to win in this match is almost balanced for both players.

Last 1 head-to-head matches Catarina won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 0-2.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Lucas Catarina
ITF Tournaments
11.03.22	Lucas Catarina - Andrea Basso	2:0 ✺
10.03.22	Lucas Catarina - Boris Butulija	2:0 ✺
09.03.22	Lucas Catarina - Oliver Tarvet	2:0 ✺
Davis Cup World Group II
05.03.22	Lucas Catarina - Elliot Benchetrit	Canceled ✺
04.03.22	Lucas Catarina - Adam Moundir	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.7 WWW?W
- Eliakim Coulibaly
ITF Tournaments
11.03.22	Omni Kumar - Eliakim Coulibaly	0:2 ✺
10.03.22	Hanwen Li - Eliakim Coulibaly	0:2 ✺
09.03.22	Marcello Serafini - Eliakim Coulibaly	0:2 ✺
ATP Challenger
20.02.22	Ernests Gulbis - Eliakim Coulibaly	2:1 ✺
ITF Tournaments
12.02.22	Eliakim Coulibaly - Guy Den Ouden	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.8 WWWLL

Latest Head to Head

ITF Tournaments
11.02.22	Lucas Catarina - Eliakim Coulibaly	0:2

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