Match Info

ITF MEN - SINGLES: M25 NOTTINGHAM 4 (UNITED KINGDOM), GRASS - 1/8-FINALS

Date: 12 July 2023, Wednesday


	Lucas Catarina		Mats Rosenkranz

	1	2
	1.72	1.95
	1.65	2.1
	1.7	2.08
	1.67	2.1
	1.66	2.09	Watch
	1.66	2.06
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.68 ↑ (1.44)	2.06 ↓ (2.56)

The best margin for this event is 6.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Lucas Catarina
55.2%

Mats Rosenkranz
44.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

64.1%

35.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

66.8%

33.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Lucas Catarina has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-8.9%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Lucas Catarina's form might have worsened.

Mats Rosenkranz has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+8.9%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Mats Rosenkranz's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Lucas Catarina than the current prediction. (+11.6%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Lucas Catarina, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Mats Rosenkranz than the current prediction. (-11.6%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Mats Rosenkranz, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

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Preview

Played on hard.

Recent matches Catarina is playing unstable (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Rosenkranz is in unsatisfactory shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Catarina could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

Catarina will have a small advantage in this match.

Recently, the players did not play each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Lucas Catarina
ATP Challenger
03.07.23	Bruno Kuzuhara - Lucas Catarina	2:0 ✺
ITF Tournaments
30.06.23	Lucas Catarina - Daniel Vallejo	1:2 ✺
29.06.23	Lucas Catarina - Rafael Tosetto	2:1 ✺
28.06.23	Lucas Catarina - Nicolas Villalon	2:0 ✺
21.05.23	Max Dahlin - Lucas Catarina	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.3 LLWWW
- Mats Rosenkranz
ATP Challenger
02.07.23	Mats Rosenkranz - Hady Habib	1:2 ✺
ITF Tournaments
29.06.23	Mariano Dedura-Palomero - Mats Rosenkranz	2:0 ✺
28.06.23	Ruben Hartig - Mats Rosenkranz	0:2 ✺
20.06.23	Mats Rosenkranz - Hazem Naw	0:2 ✺
ATP Stuttgart
10.06.23	Borna Gojo - Mats Rosenkranz	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 1.1 LLWLL

Lucas Catarina - Mats Rosenkranz: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide