Match Info

ITF MEN - SINGLES: M15 HERAKLION 2 (GREECE), HARD - FINAL

Date: 26 March 2023, Sunday 🏁 Finished

Location: HERAKLION 2 (GREECE) 🌤️ ... 🔵 Hard


	Lucas Catarina		Sebastian Gima

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Lucas Catarina
69.8%

Sebastian Gima
30.2%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

69.5%

30.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

71.4%

28.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Lucas Catarina has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.3%)

Sebastian Gima has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.3%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Lucas Catarina than the current prediction. (+1.6%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Sebastian Gima than the current prediction. (-1.6%)

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Catarina in the last match got series victories and it is in a super good shape (in the last 5 games wins - 5).

Gima is in a first-rate shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 4).

Gima could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

In this match Catarina is a favorite.

Our prediction for today's Catarina to win the game is with odds 1.34.

Recently, the players did not play each other.

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Lucas Catarina
ITF Tournaments
25.03.23	Lucas Catarina - Elmer Moeller	2:0 ✺
24.03.23	Lucas Catarina - Andrea Picchione	2:0 ✺
23.03.23	Lucas Catarina - Ron Ellouck	2:0 ✺
22.03.23	Lucas Catarina - Ioannis Xilas	2:0 ✺
19.03.23	Lucas Catarina - Francois Musitelli	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.1 WWWWW
- Sebastian Gima
ITF Tournaments
25.03.23	Sebastian Gima - Nikolay Nedelchev	2:0 ✺
24.03.23	Aleksandre Bakshi - Sebastian Gima	0:2 ✺
23.03.23	Kai Lemstra - Sebastian Gima	0:2 ✺
22.03.23	Elgin Khoeblal - Sebastian Gima	0:2 ✺
14.03.23	Sebastian Gima - Jaimee Floyd Angele	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.8 WWWWL

Lucas Catarina - Sebastian Gima