Match Info

ITF MEN - SINGLES: M25 Marburg, clay - 1/16-finals

Date: 2 July 2025, Wednesday 🏁 Finished

Location: Marburg 🌤️ ... 🔴 Clay


	Lucas Gerch		Aryan Shah

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Lucas Gerch
60.4%

Aryan Shah
39.6%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

58.5%

41.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

60.7%

39.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Lucas Gerch has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.9%)

Aryan Shah has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.9%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Lucas Gerch than the current prediction. (+0.3%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Aryan Shah than the current prediction. (-0.3%)

1	X	2
100%	0%	0%

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Gerch is ranked ATP: 560. Shah is ranked ATP: 453.

Gerch has had mixed results lately (last 5 games: 2 wins).

Shah is showing top-class performance now (in the last 5 games, wins – 4).

Shah may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

Gerch might have a minor edge in this game.

Recently, there has been no match between the players.

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Lucas Gerch
ATP Challenger
23.06.25	Lucas Gerch - Pedro Rodrigues	0:2 ✺
22.06.25	Lucas Gerch - Tadeo Meneo	2:0 ✺
20.06.25	Lucas Gerch - Joao Lucas Reis Da Silva	1:2 ✺
18.06.25	Genaro Alberto Olivieri - Lucas Gerch	Olivieri G. A. retired ✺
17.06.25	Lucas Gerch - Guido Ivan Justo	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.2 LWL?W
- Aryan Shah
ITF Tournaments
12.06.25	Aryan Shah - Tristan McCormick	0:2 ✺
11.06.25	Aryan Shah - Liam Krall	Canceled ✺
07.06.25	Aryan Shah - Roberto Cid Subervi	Shah A. retired ✺
06.06.25	Alan Fernando Rubio Fierros - Aryan Shah	0:2 ✺
06.06.25	Luis Carlos Alvarez Valdes - Aryan Shah	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.6 L??WW

Lucas Gerch - Aryan Shah