Match Info

ITF MEN - SINGLES: M25 Nussloch, hard - 1/16-finals

Date: 28 January 2026, Wednesday 🏁 Finished

Location: Nussloch 🌤️ ... 🔵 Hard


	Lucas Gerch		Carl Emil Overbeck

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Lucas Gerch
36.9%

Carl Emil Overbeck
63.1%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

44.7%

55.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Lucas Gerch has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-7.8%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Lucas Gerch's form might have worsened.

Carl Emil Overbeck has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+7.8%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Carl Emil Overbeck's recent form is better than expected.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 2 Selected Experts predict this event. Gerch (votes: 2 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2

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Gerch is ranked ATP: 600. Overbeck is ranked ATP: 506.

Overbeck has been unpredictable lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).

Overbeck is expected to have a slight advantage in this match.

In recent times, the players did not meet on the field.

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Lucas Gerch
ITF Tournaments
14.10.25	Lucas Gerch - Alec Deckers	1:2 ✺
ATP Challenger
28.09.25	Adrian Oetzbach - Lucas Gerch	2:1 ✺
ITF Tournaments
23.09.25	Kristjan Tamm - Lucas Gerch	2:1 ✺
07.09.25	Lucas Gerch - Henry Bernet	0:2 ✺
06.09.25	Ioannis Xilas - Lucas Gerch	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 2.5 LLLLW
- Carl Emil Overbeck
ATP Challenger
13.01.26	Tom Gentzsch - Carl Emil Overbeck	2:0 ✺
12.01.26	Ben Jones - Carl Emil Overbeck	1:2 ✺
11.01.26	Carl Emil Overbeck - Buvaysar Gadamauri	2:1 ✺
06.01.26	Carl Emil Overbeck - Toby Samuel	0:2 ✺
05.01.26	Ben Jones - Carl Emil Overbeck	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.6 LWWLW

Lucas Gerch - Carl Emil Overbeck