Match Info

CHALLENGER MEN - SINGLES: Santa Fe, clay - 1/16-finals

Date: 10 June 2025, Tuesday


	Lucas Gerch		Gonzalo Villanueva

	1	2
	2.2	1.62	Watch
	2.13	1.64	Watch
	2.19	1.65	Watch
			Watch
	2.12	1.67	Watch
	2.13	1.64
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.15 ↓ (2.3)	1.64 ↑ (1.55)

The best margin for this event is 6.3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Lucas Gerch
43.3%

Gonzalo Villanueva
56.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

40.3%

59.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

38.2%

61.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Lucas Gerch has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3%)

Gonzalo Villanueva has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Lucas Gerch than the current prediction. (-5.1%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Lucas Gerch that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Gonzalo Villanueva than the current prediction. (+5.1%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Gonzalo Villanueva could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Lucas Gerch - Gonzalo Villanueva Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2

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Preview

Gerch is ranked ATP: 547. Villanueva is ranked ATP: 396.

Each of the players is struggling with stability in their game.

Gerch may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

Villanueva will hold a modest advantage in this match.

Recently, there has been no match between the players.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Lucas Gerch
ATP Challenger
09.06.25	Lucas Gerch - Mateo Barreiros Reyes	2:1 ✺
08.06.25	Lucas Gerch - Arklon Huertas Del Pino	2:1 ✺
ITF Tournaments
21.05.25	Lucas Gerch - Lucas Bouquet	0:2 ✺
16.05.25	Clement Tabur - Lucas Gerch	2:0 ✺
15.05.25	Lucas Gerch - Daniel Dutra da Silva	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.6 WWLLW
- Gonzalo Villanueva
ITF Tournaments
30.05.25	Joao Lucas Reis Da Silva - Gonzalo Villanueva	2:0 ✺
29.05.25	Gonzalo Villanueva - Lautaro Midon	2:1 ✺
28.05.25	Gonzalo Villanueva - Maximo Zeitune	2:0 ✺
27.05.25	Gonzalo Villanueva - Daniel Antonio Nunez	2:1 ✺
24.05.25	Pedro Boscardin Dias - Gonzalo Villanueva	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.9 LWWWL

Lucas Gerch - Gonzalo Villanueva: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide