Match Info

Date: 20 May 2021, Thursday 🏁 Finished


	Lucas Gerch		Mariano Navone

	1	2
	1.4	2.65
	1.36	2.75
	1.39	2.84
	1.4	2.75
	1.35	3.1
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.38 ↑ (1.32)	2.82 ↓ (3.19)

The best margin for this event is 6.3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Lucas Gerch
67.1%

Mariano Navone
32.9%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

70.8%

29.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

73.2%

26.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Lucas Gerch has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.7%)

Mariano Navone has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.7%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Lucas Gerch than the current prediction. (+6.1%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Lucas Gerch, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Mariano Navone than the current prediction. (-6.1%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Mariano Navone, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

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Preview

One and the other player has got a line of lost games.

Navone could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

In this match Navone is a favorite.

Recently, the players did not play each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Lucas Gerch
ITF Tournaments
19.05.21	Lucas Gerch - Fermin Tenti	2:0 ✺
14.05.21	Michael Geerts - Lucas Gerch	2:0 ✺
13.05.21	Kai Wehnelt - Lucas Gerch	1:2 ✺
11.05.21	Max Hans Rehberg - Lucas Gerch	1:2 ✺
06.05.21	Lucas Gerch - Sandro Ehrat	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.7 WLWWL
- Mariano Navone
ITF Tournaments
19.05.21	Maik Steiner - Mariano Navone	0:2 ✺
06.05.21	Mariano Navone - Carlos Sanchez Jover	1:2 ✺
05.05.21	Vlad Andrei Dancu - Mariano Navone	0:2 ✺
30.04.21	Mariano Navone - Jack Pinnington Jones	0:2 ✺
29.04.21	Juan Pablo Paz - Mariano Navone	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.5 WLWLW

Lucas Gerch - Mariano Navone

Match Info

Current Win Probability

Preview

Form

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