Match Info

CHALLENGER MEN - SINGLES: CHAMPAIGN (USA), HARD (INDOOR) - 1/8-FINALS

Date: 17 November 2022, Thursday


	Lucas Gerch		Steve Johnson

	1	2
	2.62	1.44	Watch
	2.4	1.5
	2.6	1.47
	2.65	1.46
	2.6	1.51
	2.5	1.5	Watch
	2.86	1.4	Watch
	2.55	1.47
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.6 ↑ (2.46)	1.47 ↓ (1.49)

The best margin for this event is 4.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Lucas Gerch
36.1%

Steve Johnson
63.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

37.7%

62.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

37.6%

62.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Lucas Gerch has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.6%)

Steve Johnson has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.6%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Lucas Gerch than the current prediction. (+1.5%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Steve Johnson than the current prediction. (-1.5%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
30%	0%	70%

Lucas Gerch - Steve Johnson Predictions

Users Predictions: 10 users predict this event. Gerch will win (votes: 3 - 30%). Johnson will win (votes: 7 - 70%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Johnson: 41.6% – 98.4%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2

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Preview

One and the other player get a very uncertain game.

Johnson could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

Johnson will have a poor advantage in this game.

Recently, the players did not play each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Lucas Gerch
ATP Challenger
15.11.22	Lucas Gerch - Nick Chappell	2:0 ✺
11.11.22	Christopher Eubanks - Lucas Gerch	2:0 ✺
09.11.22	Paul Jubb - Lucas Gerch	1:2 ✺
07.11.22	Lucas Gerch - Juncheng Shang	2:0 ✺
04.11.22	Ben Shelton - Lucas Gerch	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 12.4 WLWWL
- Steve Johnson
ATP Challenger
15.11.22	Hunter Heck - Steve Johnson	1:2 ✺
29.10.22	Stefan Kozlov - Steve Johnson	2:1 ✺
28.10.22	Juan Pablo Ficovich - Steve Johnson	Ficovich J. P. retired ✺
26.10.22	Mitchell Krueger - Steve Johnson	0:2 ✺
24.10.22	Gastao Elias - Steve Johnson	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.7 WL?WW

Lucas Gerch - Steve Johnson: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide