Match Info

CHALLENGER MEN - SINGLES: Lille (France) - Qualification, hard (indoor) - Final

Date: 3 February 2025, Monday


	Lucas Marionneau		Lucas Poullain

	1	2
			Watch
	2.3	1.53
	2.28	1.56
	2.29	1.59
	2.28	1.58	Watch
	2.38	1.53	Watch
	2.31	1.57	Watch
	2.28	1.56
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.3 ↓ (3.14)	1.56 ↑ (1.34)

The best margin for this event is 6.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Lucas Marionneau
40.4%

Lucas Poullain
59.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

29.9%

70.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

30.3%

69.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Lucas Marionneau has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+10.5%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Lucas Marionneau's performance.

Lucas Poullain has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-10.5%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Lucas Poullain might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Lucas Marionneau than the current prediction. (-10.1%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Lucas Marionneau that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Lucas Poullain than the current prediction. (+10.1%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Lucas Poullain could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
69.2%	0%	30.8%

Lucas Marionneau - Lucas Poullain Predictions

Users Predictions: 13 users predict this event. Marionneau will win (votes: 9 - 69.2%). Poullain will win (votes: 4 - 30.8%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Marionneau: 44.1% – 94.3%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2

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Preview

Marionneau is ranked ATP: 1514. Poullain is ranked ATP: 458.

Marionneau is in real good shape (in the last 5 games wins - 4).

Recent matches Poullain is playing changeable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Poullain could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

Poullain will have a mini benefit in this match.

Recently, the players did not play each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Lucas Marionneau
ATP Challenger
02.02.25	Daniel Masur - Lucas Marionneau	0:2 ✺
ITF Tournaments
25.01.25	Filippo Romano - Lucas Marionneau	2:0 ✺
24.01.25	Adan Freire Da Silva - Lucas Marionneau	0:2 ✺
23.01.25	Juan Cruz Martin Manzano - Lucas Marionneau	0:2 ✺
22.01.25	Lucas Marionneau - Gergely Madarasz	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 22.8 WLWWW
- Lucas Poullain
ATP Challenger
02.02.25	Lucas Poullain - Alexey Vatutin	2:0 ✺
ITF Tournaments
22.01.25	Joe Leather - Lucas Poullain	2:0 ✺
16.01.25	Matisse Bobichon - Lucas Poullain	2:0 ✺
09.01.25	Mae Malige - Lucas Poullain	2:1 ✺
08.01.25	Alexandre Aubriot - Lucas Poullain	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.6 WLLLW

Lucas Marionneau - Lucas Poullain: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide