Match Info

Date: 7 September 2021, Tuesday


	Lucas Pouille		Joao Sousa

	1	2
	1.44	2.62	Watch
	1.42	2.65
	1.43	2.75	Watch
	1.38	2.75
	1.4	3
	1.44	2.62	Watch
	1.31	3.32	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.4 ↓ (1.57)	2.82 ↑ (2.25)

The best margin for this event is 4.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Lucas Pouille
66.7%

Joao Sousa
33.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

58.9%

41.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

61.3%

38.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Lucas Pouille has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+7.8%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Lucas Pouille's performance.

Joao Sousa has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-7.8%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Joao Sousa might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Lucas Pouille than the current prediction. (-5.4%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Lucas Pouille that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Joao Sousa than the current prediction. (+5.4%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Joao Sousa could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Lucas Pouille - Joao Sousa Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Preview

Both players have a series of defeats in the last matches.

Pouille could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

Sousa will have a small advantage in this match.

Last 2 head-to-head matches Sousa won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 3-3.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Lucas Pouille
ATP US Open
31.08.21	Albert Ramos-Vinolas - Lucas Pouille	3:2 ✺
ATP Winston-Salem
24.08.21	Daniel Evans - Lucas Pouille	2:1 ✺
23.08.21	Lucas Pouille - Feliciano Lopez	2:0 ✺
22.08.21	Lucas Pouille - Noah Rubin	2:1 ✺
21.08.21	Lucas Pouille - Darian King	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.2 LLWWW
- Joao Sousa
ATP Challenger
03.09.21	Joao Sousa - Michael Geerts	1:2 ✺
02.09.21	Joao Sousa - Roberto Ortega-Olmedo	2:0 ✺
31.08.21	Joao Sousa - Hiroki Moriya	2:1 ✺
ATP US Open
24.08.21	Paolo Lorenzi - Joao Sousa	2:1 ✺
ATP Olympic Games
25.07.21	Tomas Machac - Joao Sousa	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 2.9 LWWLL

Latest Head to Head

ATP Mallorca
20.06.21	Lucas Pouille - Joao Sousa	2:0
ATP US Open
01.09.18	Lucas Pouille - Joao Sousa	1:3

Lucas Pouille - Joao Sousa: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide